Příbram
vs
Třinec
Garuda Lions Prediction: Příbram
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Příbram vs Třinec overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Příbram vs Třinec
| Probability | Příbram | Draw | Třinec |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.3% | 22.4% | 18.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 59.3% | 22.4% | 18.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Příbram
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.10 vs 1.12.
Příbram vs Třinec match preview
Příbram enters the match against Třinec with a probability of 59% to win, while Třinec stands at 18%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Příbram, with a 10% likelihood. The expected goals for Příbram is 2.11, compared to Třinec's 1.11, indicating a significant offensive advantage for the home side.
In terms of recent form, Příbram has recorded a series of draws and one win in their last six matches (D-L-D-W-D-D), while Třinec has struggled with only one win in their last six games (L-W-L-L-D-D). The model suggests a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% likelihood that both teams will score, reflecting an expectation for an engaging match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Příbram and Třinec expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.22
Příbram and Třinec attack and defence ratings
Příbram
Třinec
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Příbram vs Třinec markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Příbram | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.6% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.2% | 2.43 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Příbram | 59.3% |
| Draw | 22.4% | |
| Třinec | 18.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.0% |
| No | 40.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Příbram win | 36.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 41.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 8.9% |
Příbram vs Třinec stats
Příbram and Třinec recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Příbram and Třinec season so far
Příbram record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Třinec record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.