Příbram
vs
Třinec
2 – 3 Full time
| 22′ | A. Conte | ||
| 31′ | J. Bolf | ||
| 33′ | J. Bolf | ||
| 53′ | N. Zinhasovic | ||
| 59′ | O. Machuca | ||
| 62′ | C. AgboM. Samiec | ||
| 67′ | J. TosnarD. Vott | ||
| 76′ | O. MachucaM. Obuch | ||
| 76′ | T. OmastaM. Vlachovsky | ||
| 76′ | J. UrbanecR. Faye | ||
| 82′ | A. ConteA. Pesek | ||
| 85′ | M. Helebrand | ||
| 90′ | L. CiencialaM. Cerny | ||
| 90′ | M. Samiec |
Příbram vs Třinec overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Příbram vs Třinec
| Probability | Příbram | Draw | Třinec |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64.2% | 21.1% | 14.7% |
| Market | 54.5% | 24.3% | 21.2% |
| Final | 57.0% | 23.5% | 19.6% |
| Edge | +2.4% | -0.8% | -1.6% |
Why Příbram
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.21 vs 0.97.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Příbram below our published probability: +2.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Příbram and Třinec expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.18
Příbram and Třinec attack and defence ratings
Příbram
Třinec
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Příbram vs Třinec: result vs prediction
Příbram 2 – 3 Třinec
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Příbram vs Třinec markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Příbram | 57.0% | 1.76 | +2.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Příbram win | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Příbram | 57.0% |
| Draw | 23.5% | |
| Třinec | 19.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.3% |
| No | 43.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Příbram win | 42.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 35.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 10.1% |
| 1-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-1 | 9.9% |
Příbram vs Třinec stats
Příbram and Třinec recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Příbram and Třinec going into this match
Příbram record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Třinec record
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
Příbram vs Třinec head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-19 | Třinec | Příbram | FNL | 2-1 |
| 2022-09-17 | Příbram | Třinec | FNL | 3-1 |
| 2022-04-30 | Třinec | Příbram | FNL | 4-1 |
| 2021-10-30 | Příbram | Třinec | FNL | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Příbram vs Třinec odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.5%, draw 24.3%, away 21.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.65 | 3.70 | 4.30 |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 3.60 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.33 |
| Betano | 1.72 | 3.75 | 4.25 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 3.90 | 4.33 |
| Dafabet | 1.71 | 3.90 | 4.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.63 | 3.70 | 4.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.72 | 3.79 | 4.06 |
| SBO | 1.62 | 3.54 | 3.98 |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.50 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .