FNL · ·Matchday 10

Třinec vs Kladno

Garuda Lions Prediction: Třinec

2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability

Stadion Rudolfa Labaje, TrinecReferee: M. Pansky

Třinec 38%
Draw 28%
Kladno 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Třinec wins
38%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
95%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
66%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
8% of simulated outcomes

Třinec vs Kladno overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Třinec vs Kladno

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTřinecDrawKladno
Model34.4%24.9%40.6%
Market39.3%28.5%32.3%
Final38.1%27.6%34.3%
Edge-4.8%-3.6%+8.4%

Confidence: Low

Best available price on the pick: 2.45, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Třinec vs Kladno match preview

Třinec faces Kladno in their upcoming FNL clash, with Třinec holding a 37% probability of winning compared to Kladno's 36%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Třinec, occurring with an 8% likelihood. The model suggests a high chance of goals, with 64% probability for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

In terms of expected goals, Třinec is forecasted to score 1.58 while Kladno is projected at 1.73. Recent form shows Třinec with a record of L-W-L-L-D-D, while Kladno has D-D-L-W-L-D. The confidence grade for this matchup is rated as C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Třinec ↓ / Kladno → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 11% 9% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 5%

Třinec and Kladno expected goals

Třinec 1.57
Kladno 1.74

Total expected goals: 3.31

Třinec and Kladno attack and defence ratings

Třinec

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 1.32 +32%

Kladno

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 1.14 +14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

FNL

Before and after this match

Třinec vs Kladno markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Třinec 38.1% 2.63 -4.8% 2.45
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.2% 1.56 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.3% 1.51 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.4% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.0% 1.52 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Třinec38.1%
Draw27.6%
Kladno34.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.2%
Under 2.535.8%
Both teams to scoreYes66.3%
No33.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.7%
12 (either side)72.4%
X2 (draw or away)61.9%
Handicap -1Třinec win16.9%
Push (exactly one goal)17.1%
Loss66.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.0%
1-28.6%
2-17.9%

Třinec vs Kladno stats

Třinec and Kladno recent form

newest first
Třinec LWLLDD
Kladno DDLWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Třinec and Kladno season so far

league record

Třinec record

  • They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.

Kladno record

  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Třinec vs Kladno head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Třinec vs Kladno odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.3%, draw 28.5%, away 32.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.31 3.10 2.82
Bet365 2.35 3.10 2.70
BetVictor 2.30 3.30 2.80
Betano 2.45 3.20 2.80
Betfair 2.30 3.30 2.80
Dafabet 2.43 3.25 2.85
Marathonbet 2.29 3.10 2.75
Pinnacle 2.28 3.17 2.74
William Hill 2.30 3.00 2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.30 ▼ -0.10
X 3.17 ▼ -0.13
2 2.80 ▲ +0.15

10 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Třinec Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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