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FNL · Full time ·Matchday 10

Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Viktoria Žižkov

1 – 2 Full time

10′F. Kaza
20′P. Mares
42′F. BlechaP. Schon
47′V. Dudl
52′D. Huf
61′O. Zezulka
63′F. PapousekR. Hruby
64′F. KazaM. Simon
64′D. MichlN. Kljajic
71′P. MaresM. Hubinek
80′A. Batioja
81′L. DufekA. Zouhar
89′M. ZitnyV. Prosek
90′P. HaitlM. Cervenka
90′A. BatiojaM. Richter

Mestsky Stadion Ceska Lipa, Ceska LipaReferee: L. Habermann

Arsenal Česká Lípa 44%
Draw 27%
Viktoria Žižkov 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Viktoria Žižkov overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Viktoria Žižkov

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityArsenal Česká LípaDrawViktoria Žižkov
Model49.4%26.6%24.1%
Market41.7%26.6%31.8%
Final43.6%26.6%29.8%
Edge+1.9%-0.0%-1.9%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Arsenal Česká Lípa

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 1.11.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Arsenal Česká ↓ / Viktoria Žižko → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 9% 13% 6% 2 9% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 53%
No goals 7%

Arsenal Česká Lípa and Viktoria Žižkov expected goals

Arsenal Česká Lípa 1.67
Viktoria Žižkov 1.11

Total expected goals: 2.78

Arsenal Česká Lípa and Viktoria Žižkov attack and defence ratings

Arsenal Česká Lípa

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Viktoria Žižkov

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 1.28 +28%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Viktoria Žižkov: result vs prediction

Arsenal Česká Lípa 1 – 2 Viktoria Žižkov

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

FNL

Before and after this match

Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Viktoria Žižkov markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Arsenal Česká Lípa 43.6% 2.29 +1.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52.6% 1.90 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.5% 1.80 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.4% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.6% 1.98 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Arsenal Česká Lípa43.6%
Draw26.6%
Viktoria Žižkov29.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552.6%
Under 2.547.4%
Both teams to scoreYes55.5%
No44.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.2%
12 (either side)73.4%
X2 (draw or away)56.4%
Handicap -1Arsenal Česká Lípa win27.1%
Push (exactly one goal)22.3%
Loss50.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.6%
2-19.6%
1-09.2%

Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Viktoria Žižkov stats

Arsenal Česká Lípa and Viktoria Žižkov recent form

newest first
Arsenal Česká Lípa LDLWWL
Viktoria Žižkov WWDLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Arsenal Česká Lípa and Viktoria Žižkov going into this match

league record before kick-off

Arsenal Česká Lípa record

  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.

Viktoria Žižkov record

  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Viktoria Žižkov head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Viktoria Žižkov odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.7%, draw 26.6%, away 31.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.18 3.34 2.85
Bet365 2.15 3.40 2.88
BetVictor 2.25 3.60 2.90
Betano 2.22 3.45 2.92
Betfair 2.15 3.60 2.75
Dafabet 2.23 3.55 2.90
Marathonbet 2.16 3.34 2.78
Pinnacle 2.19 3.45 2.90
SBO 2.10 3.24 2.74
William Hill 2.25 3.20 2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.19 ▼ -0.18
X 3.42 ▼ -0.02
2 2.87 ▲ +0.31

9 snapshots recorded, from .