Arsenal Česká Lípa
vs
Viktoria Žižkov
Garuda Lions Prediction: Arsenal Česká Lípa
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Viktoria Žižkov overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Viktoria Žižkov
| Probability | Arsenal Česká Lípa | Draw | Viktoria Žižkov |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.8% | 26.5% | 23.7% |
| Market | 39.9% | 26.9% | 33.2% |
| Final | 42.4% | 26.8% | 30.8% |
| Edge | +9.9% | -0.4% | -9.5% |
Why Arsenal Česká Lípa
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 1.11.
- The market prices Arsenal Česká Lípa below the model: +9.9 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.34, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Viktoria Žižkov match preview
Arsenal Česká Lípa faces Viktoria Žižkov in an upcoming FNL match, with model probabilities indicating a 50% chance of a home win, 26% for a draw, and 24% for an away victory. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, occurring with a 10% probability. The expectation for over 2.5 goals stands at 53%, while both teams are anticipated to score in 55% of scenarios.
In terms of recent form, Arsenal Česká Lípa has recorded results of L-D-L-W-W-L, while Viktoria Žižkov has a sequence of W-W-D-L-L-L. Expected goals for Arsenal Česká Lípa are calculated at 1.68, compared to Viktoria Žižkov’s 1.10. The confidence grade for these predictions is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Arsenal Česká Lípa and Viktoria Žižkov expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.78
Arsenal Česká Lípa and Viktoria Žižkov attack and defence ratings
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Viktoria Žižkov
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Viktoria Žižkov markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Arsenal Česká Lípa | 42.4% | 2.36 | +9.9% | 2.34 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Arsenal Česká Lípa | 42.4% |
| Draw | 26.8% | |
| Viktoria Žižkov | 30.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% |
| No | 44.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Arsenal Česká Lípa win | 27.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 50.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 1-0 | 9.3% |
Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Viktoria Žižkov stats
Arsenal Česká Lípa and Viktoria Žižkov recent form
| Arsenal Česká Lípa |
LDLWWL |
| Viktoria Žižkov |
WWDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Arsenal Česká Lípa and Viktoria Žižkov season so far
Arsenal Česká Lípa record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Viktoria Žižkov record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Viktoria Žižkov head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Viktoria Žižkov odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.9%, draw 26.9%, away 33.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.26 | 3.35 | 2.72 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.40 | 2.70 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.75 |
| Betano | 2.32 | 3.40 | 2.82 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.63 |
| Dafabet | 2.34 | 3.50 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.24 | 3.35 | 2.65 |
| Pinnacle | 2.29 | 3.42 | 2.75 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .