Ústí nad Labem
vs
Opava
2 – 3 Full time
Ústí nad Labem vs Opava overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ústí nad Labem vs Opava
| Probability | Ústí nad Labem | Draw | Opava |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.5% | 23.3% | 16.2% |
| Market | 46.6% | 25.9% | 27.5% |
| Final | 50.0% | 25.3% | 24.7% |
| Edge | +13.9% | -2.6% | -11.3% |
Why Ústí nad Labem
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 0.93.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Ústí nad Labem below the model: +13.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ústí nad Labem and Opava expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.89
Ústí nad Labem and Opava attack and defence ratings
Ústí nad Labem
Opava
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ústí nad Labem vs Opava: result vs prediction
Ústí nad Labem 2 – 3 Opava
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ústí nad Labem vs Opava markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ústí nad Labem | 50.0% | 2.00 | +13.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ústí nad Labem | 50.0% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| Opava | 24.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.1% |
| No | 46.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ústí nad Labem win | 37.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.3% | |
| Loss | 39.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 2-0 | 10.7% | |
| 2-1 | 9.9% |
Ústí nad Labem vs Opava stats
Ústí nad Labem and Opava recent form
| Ústí nad Labem |
WLDWWD |
| Opava |
WDLDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ústí nad Labem and Opava going into this match
Ústí nad Labem record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Opava record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ústí nad Labem vs Opava head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Ústí nad Labem | Opava | FNL | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-17 | Opava | Ústí nad Labem | FNL | 3-3 |
| 2022-05-11 | Opava | Ústí nad Labem | FNL | 2-0 |
| 2021-11-19 | Ústí nad Labem | Opava | FNL | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ústí nad Labem vs Opava odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.6%, draw 25.9%, away 27.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.97 | 3.36 | 3.28 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.50 | 3.30 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 2.02 | 3.50 | 3.30 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.03 | 3.65 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 1.95 | 3.36 | 3.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.94 | 3.51 | 3.41 |
| SBO | 1.95 | 3.15 | 3.14 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.25 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .