Garuda Lions
Today
FNL · Full time ·Matchday 11

Prostějov vs Ústí nad Labem

2 – 2 Full time

25′P. Moulis
33′J. Matousek
48′J. Simons
56′J. Koudelka
57′Y. DiarraD. Cerny
57′P. GojF. Idumbo-Muzambo
62′J. Simons
70′M. CernakD. Alijagic
70′J. MatousekM. Halda
71′J. Bzura
74′S. OsaghaeD. Richter
81′P. MoulisT. Berelidze
81′J. BzuraL. Kodad
81′J. KoudelkaA. Binar
82′M. Surzyn
89′S. JalovicorD. Fiser

Stadion Za Mistnim nadrazim, ProstejovReferee: D. Lovetinsky

Prostějov 32%
Draw 26%
Ústí nad Labem 42%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Prostějov vs Ústí nad Labem overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Prostějov vs Ústí nad Labem

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityProstějovDrawÚstí nad Labem
Model36.0%27.5%36.5%
Market30.3%25.8%43.9%
Final31.8%26.2%42.0%
Edge+1.4%+0.4%-1.8%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Ústí nad Labem

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Prostějov ↓ / Ústí nad Labem → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 7% 13% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

Prostějov and Ústí nad Labem expected goals

Prostějov 1.42
Ústí nad Labem 1.42

Total expected goals: 2.83

Prostějov and Ústí nad Labem attack and defence ratings

Prostějov

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Ústí nad Labem

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Prostějov vs Ústí nad Labem: result vs prediction

Prostějov 2 – 2 Ústí nad Labem

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

FNL

Before and after this match

Prostějov vs Ústí nad Labem markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Ústí nad Labem 42.0% 2.38 -1.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53.8% 1.86 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.5% 1.71 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.8% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.8% 1.57 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Prostějov31.8%
Draw26.2%
Ústí nad Labem42.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553.8%
Under 2.546.2%
Both teams to scoreYes58.5%
No41.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)58.0%
12 (either side)73.8%
X2 (draw or away)68.2%
Handicap -1Ústí nad Labem win17.4%
Push (exactly one goal)18.8%
Loss63.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.0%
1-28.4%
2-18.3%

Prostějov vs Ústí nad Labem stats

Prostějov and Ústí nad Labem recent form

newest first
Prostějov DDDDLW
Ústí nad Labem LWLDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Prostějov and Ústí nad Labem going into this match

league record before kick-off

Prostějov record

  • They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Ústí nad Labem record

  • They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Prostějov vs Ústí nad Labem head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Prostějov wins 2Draws 4Ústí nad Labem wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-18ProstějovÚstí nad LabemFNL2-1
2025-09-19Ústí nad LabemProstějovFNL1-2
2022-03-12ProstějovÚstí nad LabemFNL0-2
2021-08-13Ústí nad LabemProstějovFNL1-1
2021-04-30Ústí nad LabemProstějovFNL1-2
2020-11-25ProstějovÚstí nad LabemFNL0-1
2020-03-07ProstějovÚstí nad LabemFNL1-1
2019-08-02Ústí nad LabemProstějovFNL3-1
2019-04-12Ústí nad LabemProstějovFNL2-1
2018-09-15ProstějovÚstí nad LabemFNL1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Prostějov vs Ústí nad Labem odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 30.3%, draw 25.8%, away 43.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.95 3.46 2.08
Bet365 3.00 3.50 2.00
BetVictor 3.00 3.60 2.05
Betano 3.05 3.55 2.12
Betfair 2.88 3.60 2.10
Dafabet 3.10 3.65 2.11
Marathonbet 2.88 3.46 2.06
Pinnacle 3.04 3.58 2.07
SBO 2.95 3.28 1.98
William Hill 3.00 3.30 2.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.00 ▲ +0.45
X 3.52 ▲ +0.12
2 2.08 ▼ -0.30

5 snapshots recorded, from .