Prostějov
vs
Ústí nad Labem
Garuda Lions Prediction: Ústí nad Labem
0 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Prostějov vs Ústí nad Labem overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Prostějov vs Ústí nad Labem
| Probability | Prostějov | Draw | Ústí nad Labem |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.4% | 29.7% | 39.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 30.4% | 29.7% | 39.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Ústí nad Labem
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Prostějov vs Ústí nad Labem match preview
Prostějov faces Ústí nad Labem in a match where the probabilities suggest a competitive encounter. The model gives Prostějov a 30% chance of winning, while Ústí nad Labem has a 40% probability. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 10% likelihood. Expected goals are 1.13 for Prostějov and 1.33 for Ústí nad Labem, indicating a slight edge for the visitors in terms of offensive potential.
In terms of recent form, Prostějov has recorded three draws and two losses in their last six matches, while Ústí nad Labem has secured four wins and two draws in the same period. The head-to-head record shows Prostějov with two wins against Ústí nad Labem's zero, which may provide them with some psychological advantage despite their recent struggles. Both teams have a 51% chance of scoring, suggesting a potentially open game.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Prostějov and Ústí nad Labem expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.83
Prostějov and Ústí nad Labem attack and defence ratings
Prostějov
Ústí nad Labem
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Prostějov vs Ústí nad Labem markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ústí nad Labem | 39.9% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Prostějov | 30.4% |
| Draw | 29.7% | |
| Ústí nad Labem | 39.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.1% |
| No | 48.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ústí nad Labem win | 17.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.8% | |
| Loss | 63.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 0-1 | 10.1% | |
| 0-0 | 9.8% |
Prostějov vs Ústí nad Labem stats
Prostějov and Ústí nad Labem recent form
| Prostějov |
DDDDLW |
| Ústí nad Labem |
LWLDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Prostějov and Ústí nad Labem season so far
Prostějov record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ústí nad Labem record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Prostějov vs Ústí nad Labem head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Prostějov | Ústí nad Labem | FNL | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-19 | Ústí nad Labem | Prostějov | FNL | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.