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FNL · Full time ·Matchday 11

Kladno vs Arsenal Česká Lípa

2 – 3 Full time

4′L. Dufek
23′P. Hrdlicka
26′V. DudlA. Zouhar
37′J. Chalupa
53′M. Toml
55′D. Jurcenko
56′L. Dufek
56′D. MichlM. Cervenka
56′L. DufekA. Ondracek
62′A. Ondracek
62′T. Smejkal
63′A. Zouhar
65′F. Havelka
65′F. Nalezinek
69′J. ChalupaH. Hruska
69′D. GembickyD. Kasparek
82′D. JurcenkoO. Novotny
82′T. SmejkalF. Ruzicka
85′F. KazaM. Simon
85′F. HavelkaP. Schon
90′M. Simon
90′K. HrubesV. Citek

Stadion Frantiska Kloze, KladnoReferee: P. Orel

Kladno 52%
Draw 25%
Arsenal Česká Lípa 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Kladno vs Arsenal Česká Lípa overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kladno vs Arsenal Česká Lípa

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKladnoDrawArsenal Česká Lípa
Model55.9%24.6%19.6%
Market50.4%25.3%24.3%
Final51.8%25.1%23.2%
Edge+5.5%-0.7%-4.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Kladno

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 1.03.
  • The market prices Kladno below the model: +5.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kladno ↓ / Arsenal Česká → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 9% 12% 2 10% 10% 3 6% 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 7%

Kladno and Arsenal Česká Lípa expected goals

Kladno 1.87
Arsenal Česká Lípa 1.03

Total expected goals: 2.90

Kladno and Arsenal Česká Lípa attack and defence ratings

Kladno

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Arsenal Česká Lípa

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kladno vs Arsenal Česká Lípa: result vs prediction

Kladno 2 – 3 Arsenal Česká Lípa

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

FNL

Before and after this match

Kladno vs Arsenal Česká Lípa markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kladno 51.8% 1.93 +5.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.5% 1.80 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.6% 1.80 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 76.8% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 44.2% 2.26 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kladno51.8%
Draw25.1%
Arsenal Česká Lípa23.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.5%
Under 2.544.5%
Both teams to scoreYes55.6%
No44.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.8%
12 (either side)74.9%
X2 (draw or away)48.2%
Handicap -1Kladno win33.0%
Push (exactly one goal)22.9%
Loss44.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.7%
2-19.9%
2-09.6%

Kladno vs Arsenal Česká Lípa stats

Kladno and Arsenal Česká Lípa recent form

newest first
Kladno WDDLWL
Arsenal Česká Lípa LLDLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kladno and Arsenal Česká Lípa going into this match

league record before kick-off

Kladno record

  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Arsenal Česká Lípa record

  • They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.

Kladno vs Arsenal Česká Lípa head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

4Kladno wins 2Draws 3Arsenal Česká Lípa wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-13Arsenal Česká LípaKladno3. liga - Promotion Play-off2-3
2026-06-10KladnoArsenal Česká Lípa3. liga - Promotion Play-off0-2
2025-05-24KladnoArsenal Česká Lípa3. liga - CFL B2-0
2024-10-26Arsenal Česká LípaKladno3. liga - CFL B0-1
2023-04-29KladnoArsenal Česká Lípa4. liga - Divizie B2-1
2022-10-01Arsenal Česká LípaKladno4. liga - Divizie B1-0
2022-04-09Arsenal Česká LípaKladno4. liga - Divizie B1-1
2021-08-28KladnoArsenal Česká Lípa4. liga - Divizie B1-8
2020-09-19KladnoArsenal Česká Lípa4. liga - Divizie B2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Kladno vs Arsenal Česká Lípa odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.5%, draw 24.9%, away 24.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.78 3.58 3.73
Bet365 1.80 3.50 3.60
BetVictor 1.83 3.80 3.80
Betano 1.87 3.65 3.70
Betfair 1.80 3.75 3.60
Dafabet 1.86 3.65 3.70
Marathonbet 1.76 3.58 3.64
Pinnacle 1.79 3.70 3.78
William Hill 1.80 3.40 3.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.79 ▼ -0.06
X 3.58 ▲ +0.10
2 3.71 ▲ +0.08

9 snapshots recorded, from .