Příbram vs Karviná overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Příbram vs Karviná
| Probability | Příbram | Draw | Karviná |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.0% | 25.9% | 27.1% |
| Market | 28.2% | 26.2% | 45.6% |
| Final | 32.9% | 26.1% | 41.0% |
| Edge | +18.8% | -0.3% | -18.5% |
Why Karviná
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Příbram and Karviná expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.98
Příbram and Karviná attack and defence ratings
Příbram
Karviná
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Příbram vs Karviná: result vs prediction
Příbram 2 – 1 Karviná
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Příbram vs Karviná markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Karviná | 41.0% | 2.44 | -18.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Příbram | 32.9% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| Karviná | 41.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.0% |
| No | 40.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Karviná win | 11.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.2% | |
| Loss | 73.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 1-0 | 7.6% |
Příbram vs Karviná stats
Příbram and Karviná recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Příbram and Karviná going into this match
Příbram record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Karviná record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Příbram vs Karviná head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-05 | Karviná | Příbram | FNL | 1-0 |
| 2022-08-12 | Příbram | Karviná | FNL | 1-1 |
| 2021-04-25 | Karviná | Příbram | Czech Liga | 0-1 |
| 2020-12-19 | Příbram | Karviná | Czech Liga | 0-1 |
| 2020-03-08 | Karviná | Příbram | Czech Liga | 2-0 |
| 2019-09-21 | Příbram | Karviná | Czech Liga | 0-2 |
| 2019-05-11 | Příbram | Karviná | Czech Liga | 1-0 |
| 2019-03-02 | Příbram | Karviná | Czech Liga | 2-1 |
| 2018-09-22 | Karviná | Příbram | Czech Liga | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Příbram vs Karviná odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.2%, draw 26.2%, away 45.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.24 | 3.48 | 1.98 |
| Bet365 | 3.30 | 3.40 | 1.95 |
| Betano | 3.35 | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| Betfair | 3.25 | 3.60 | 1.91 |
| Dafabet | 3.35 | 3.55 | 2.00 |
| Marathonbet | 3.18 | 3.48 | 1.96 |
| Pinnacle | 3.19 | 3.59 | 2.00 |
| Unibet | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| William Hill | 3.20 | 3.30 | 2.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .