Arsenal Česká Lípa
vs
Vlašim
2 – 1 Full time
Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Vlašim overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Vlašim
| Probability | Arsenal Česká Lípa | Draw | Vlašim |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.2% | 25.2% | 42.7% |
| Market | 35.5% | 26.5% | 37.9% |
| Final | 34.7% | 26.2% | 39.1% |
| Edge | -3.4% | -1.4% | +4.8% |
Why Vlašim
- The market prices Vlašim below the model: +4.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Arsenal Česká Lípa and Vlašim expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.23
Arsenal Česká Lípa and Vlašim attack and defence ratings
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Vlašim
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Vlašim: result vs prediction
Arsenal Česká Lípa 2 – 1 Vlašim
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Vlašim markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vlašim | 39.1% | 2.56 | +4.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.7% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Arsenal Česká Lípa | 34.7% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| Vlašim | 39.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.0% |
| No | 35.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vlašim win | 23.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.5% | |
| Loss | 57.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 1-2 | 8.9% | |
| 2-1 | 7.6% |
Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Vlašim stats
Arsenal Česká Lípa and Vlašim recent form
| Arsenal Česká Lípa |
WLDDL |
| Vlašim |
DDWLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.
Arsenal Česká Lípa and Vlašim going into this match
Arsenal Česká Lípa record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Vlašim record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Vlašim head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | Vlašim | Arsenal Česká Lípa | Friendlies Clubs | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Vlašim odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.5%, draw 26.5%, away 37.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.54 | 3.40 | 2.35 |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.45 |
| Betano | 2.57 | 3.40 | 2.52 |
| Betfair | 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.38 |
| Dafabet | 2.55 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| Marathonbet | 2.54 | 3.40 | 2.35 |
| Pinnacle | 2.57 | 3.56 | 2.37 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.38 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .