Cacahuatique
vs
Firpo
Garuda Lions Prediction: Firpo
0 – 1 Predicted score · 14% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 0.72.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Cacahuatique vs Firpo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cacahuatique vs Firpo
| Probability | Cacahuatique | Draw | Firpo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 14.6% | 26.1% | 59.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 14.6% | 26.1% | 59.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Firpo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 0.72.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Cacahuatique vs Firpo match preview
Cacahuatique faces Firpo in the Primera Division with a kickoff set for November 10, 2026. According to our model, Cacahuatique has a 16% chance of winning, while Firpo is favored with a 58% probability. The most likely scoreline is a narrow 0-1 in favor of Firpo, occurring at a 14% likelihood. The expected goals for Cacahuatique stand at 0.77, contrasting with Firpo's 1.66.
In terms of recent form, Cacahuatique has recorded W-D-D-L-L-W, while Firpo shows a more consistent performance with D-D-W-W-D-W. The head-to-head record from the last 10 encounters reveals Cacahuatique with 2 wins, 3 draws, and Firpo dominating with 5 wins. The model indicates a 44% chance for over 2.5 goals and a 45% probability that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cacahuatique and Firpo expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.40
Cacahuatique and Firpo attack and defence ratings
Cacahuatique
Firpo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 20 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cacahuatique vs Firpo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Firpo | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cacahuatique | 14.6% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| Firpo | 59.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.8% |
| No | 57.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 40.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 85.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Firpo win | 33.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.4% | |
| Loss | 40.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 14.2% |
| 0-2 | 12.8% | |
| 1-1 | 12.1% |
Cacahuatique vs Firpo stats
Cacahuatique and Firpo recent form
| Cacahuatique |
WDDLLW |
| Firpo |
WDDWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cacahuatique and Firpo season so far
Cacahuatique record
- They have won 2 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 17 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 17 matches.
Firpo record
- They have won 9 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 17 matches.
Cacahuatique vs Firpo head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Firpo | Cacahuatique | Primera Division | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Firpo | Cacahuatique | Primera Division | 1-0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Cacahuatique | Firpo | Copa Presidente | 0-1 |
| 2026-02-04 | Cacahuatique | Firpo | Primera Division | 1-3 |
| 2025-10-12 | Firpo | Cacahuatique | Primera Division | 3-0 |
| 2025-08-10 | Cacahuatique | Firpo | Primera Division | 1-3 |
| 2025-05-03 | Cacahuatique | Firpo | Primera Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-09 | Firpo | Cacahuatique | Primera Division | 1-1 |
| 2024-10-05 | Cacahuatique | Firpo | Primera Division | 1-0 |
| 2024-08-03 | Firpo | Cacahuatique | Primera Division | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.