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Super League 2 · Full time ·Matchday 5

Olympiakos Piraeus II vs Kallithea

0 – 1 Full time

48′T. Tsirigotis
Olympiakos Piraeus II 23%
Draw 27%
Kallithea 50%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Olympiakos Piraeus II vs Kallithea overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Olympiakos Piraeus II vs Kallithea

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOlympiakos Piraeus IIDrawKallithea
Model19.2%26.0%54.8%
Market24.2%27.7%48.0%
Final23.0%27.3%49.7%
Edge-5.1%-1.7%+6.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Kallithea

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 0.93.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Kallithea below the model: +6.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Olympiakos Pir ↓ / Kallithea → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 11% 10% 1 12% 10% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Olympiakos Piraeus II and Kallithea expected goals

Olympiakos Piraeus II 0.93
Kallithea 1.72

Total expected goals: 2.66

Olympiakos Piraeus II and Kallithea attack and defence ratings

Olympiakos Piraeus II

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 1.56 +56%

Kallithea

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Olympiakos Piraeus II vs Kallithea: result vs prediction

Olympiakos Piraeus II 0 – 1 Kallithea

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Super League 2

Before and after this match

Olympiakos Piraeus II vs Kallithea markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kallithea 49.7% 2.01 +6.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.4% 1.98 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.0% 1.96 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 77.0% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 45.2% 2.21 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Olympiakos Piraeus II23.0%
Draw27.3%
Kallithea49.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.6%
Under 2.550.4%
Both teams to scoreYes51.0%
No49.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)50.3%
12 (either side)72.7%
X2 (draw or away)77.0%
Handicap -1Kallithea win31.1%
Push (exactly one goal)23.7%
Loss45.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.4%
0-111.0%
0-210.4%

Olympiakos Piraeus II vs Kallithea stats

Olympiakos Piraeus II and Kallithea recent form

newest first
Olympiakos Piraeus II DLLWDL
Kallithea WWWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Olympiakos Piraeus II and Kallithea going into this match

league record before kick-off

Olympiakos Piraeus II record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

Kallithea record

  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.

Olympiakos Piraeus II vs Kallithea head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

2Olympiakos Piraeus II wins 1Draws 3Kallithea wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-12-13Olympiakos Piraeus IIKallitheaSuper League 20-0
2025-10-12KallitheaOlympiakos Piraeus IISuper League 22-3
2024-01-06Olympiakos Piraeus IIKallitheaSuper League 21-2
2023-10-01KallitheaOlympiakos Piraeus IISuper League 23-2
2023-04-29Olympiakos Piraeus IIKallitheaSuper League 25-4
2022-12-19KallitheaOlympiakos Piraeus IISuper League 22-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Olympiakos Piraeus II vs Kallithea odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 24.2%, draw 27.7%, away 48.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.84 3.24 1.85
Bet365 4.00 3.30 1.91
Betano 3.70 3.35 1.93
Betfair 3.80 3.30 1.85
Dafabet 3.75 3.45 1.96
Marathonbet 3.74 3.24 1.83
Pinnacle 3.54 3.36 1.90
William Hill 3.80 3.10 1.91

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.77 ▼ -0.02
X 3.30 —
2 1.90 ▲ +0.05

2 snapshots recorded, from .