Super League 2 · Full time ·Matchday 7

Panthrakikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus II

2 – 2 Full time

61′A. Sarantidis
75′A. Sarantidis
81′P. Kolokotronis
83′C. Filis
Panthrakikos 51%
Draw 28%
Olympiakos Piraeus II 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Panthrakikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus II overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Panthrakikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus II

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPanthrakikosDrawOlympiakos Piraeus II
Model60.0%26.1%13.9%
Market47.4%28.7%23.8%
Final50.6%28.1%21.4%
Edge+3.2%-0.7%-2.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Panthrakikos

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 0.68.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Panthrakikos below our published probability: +3.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Panthrakikos ↓ / Olympiakos Pir → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 1 15% 12% 2 13% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 11%

Panthrakikos and Olympiakos Piraeus II expected goals

Panthrakikos 1.67
Olympiakos Piraeus II 0.68

Total expected goals: 2.35

Panthrakikos and Olympiakos Piraeus II attack and defence ratings

Panthrakikos

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Olympiakos Piraeus II

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.51 +51%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Panthrakikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus II: result vs prediction

Panthrakikos 2 – 2 Olympiakos Piraeus II

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Super League 2

Before and after this match

Panthrakikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus II markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Panthrakikos 50.6% 1.98 +3.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 58.4% 1.71 — —
Both teams to score No 58.9% 1.70 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.6% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 39.9% 2.50 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Panthrakikos50.6%
Draw28.1%
Olympiakos Piraeus II21.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.541.6%
Under 2.558.4%
Both teams to scoreYes41.1%
No58.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.6%
12 (either side)71.9%
X2 (draw or away)49.4%
Handicap -1Panthrakikos win34.3%
Push (exactly one goal)25.8%
Loss39.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-014.9%
2-013.3%
1-111.9%

Panthrakikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus II stats

Panthrakikos and Olympiakos Piraeus II recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Panthrakikos and Olympiakos Piraeus II going into this match

league record before kick-off

Panthrakikos record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.

Olympiakos Piraeus II record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

Panthrakikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus II head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Panthrakikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus II odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.2%, draw 28.6%, away 24.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.90 3.14 3.78
Bet365 1.95 3.25 4.00
Betano 1.93 3.25 3.75
Betfair 2.30 3.10 2.88
Dafabet 1.94 3.30 3.85
Marathonbet 1.88 3.14 3.68

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.90 ▼ -0.40
X 3.14 ▲ +0.04
2 3.78 ▲ +0.98

10 snapshots recorded, from .