Panthrakikos
vs
Olympiakos Piraeus II
2 – 2 Full time
| 61′ | A. Sarantidis | ||
| 75′ | A. Sarantidis | ||
| 81′ | P. Kolokotronis | ||
| 83′ | C. Filis |
Panthrakikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus II overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Panthrakikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus II
| Probability | Panthrakikos | Draw | Olympiakos Piraeus II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.0% | 26.1% | 13.9% |
| Market | 47.4% | 28.7% | 23.8% |
| Final | 50.6% | 28.1% | 21.4% |
| Edge | +3.2% | -0.7% | -2.5% |
Why Panthrakikos
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 0.68.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Panthrakikos below our published probability: +3.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Panthrakikos and Olympiakos Piraeus II expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.35
Panthrakikos and Olympiakos Piraeus II attack and defence ratings
Panthrakikos
Olympiakos Piraeus II
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Panthrakikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus II: result vs prediction
Panthrakikos 2 – 2 Olympiakos Piraeus II
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Panthrakikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus II markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panthrakikos | 50.6% | 1.98 | +3.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.9% | 2.50 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panthrakikos | 50.6% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| Olympiakos Piraeus II | 21.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.1% |
| No | 58.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Panthrakikos win | 34.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.8% | |
| Loss | 39.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.9% |
| 2-0 | 13.3% | |
| 1-1 | 11.9% |
Panthrakikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus II stats
Panthrakikos and Olympiakos Piraeus II recent form
| LDLWWD | |
| LDLLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Panthrakikos and Olympiakos Piraeus II going into this match
Panthrakikos record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Olympiakos Piraeus II record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Panthrakikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus II head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Panthrakikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus II odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.2%, draw 28.6%, away 24.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.90 | 3.14 | 3.78 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.25 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 1.93 | 3.25 | 3.75 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.10 | 2.88 |
| Dafabet | 1.94 | 3.30 | 3.85 |
| Marathonbet | 1.88 | 3.14 | 3.68 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .