PAOK II
vs
Apollon Pontou
Garuda Lions Prediction: PAOK II
1 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability
PAOK II vs Apollon Pontou overview
Garuda Lions analysis: PAOK II vs Apollon Pontou
| Probability | PAOK II | Draw | Apollon Pontou |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.1% | 35.9% | 27.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 37.1% | 35.9% | 27.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
PAOK II vs Apollon Pontou match preview
PAOK II faces Apollon Pontou in a Super League 2 matchup on October 18, 2026. According to our model, PAOK II has a 37% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 36% and Apollon Pontou at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of PAOK II, with a probability of 16%. Expected goals suggest PAOK II will score 0.97, compared to Apollon Pontou's 0.78.
In terms of recent form, PAOK II has recorded a sequence of L-D-L-W-L-D, while Apollon Pontou shows a mixed record of W-D-W-L-L-D. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 26%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 35%. The confidence grade for this prediction is C, indicating moderate certainty in the forecasted outcomes.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
PAOK II and Apollon Pontou expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.75
PAOK II and Apollon Pontou attack and defence ratings
PAOK II
Apollon Pontou
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
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- Marko vs Ellas Syros — team news & stats
- Larisa v Panserraikos — match page
- Panthrakikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus II — team news & stats
- Nestos Chrisoupolis v Kallithea — match page
- Pyrgos 1968 vs Anagennisi Karditsas — team news & stats
- Niki Volos vs Panionios
Before and after this match
PAOK II vs Apollon Pontou markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | PAOK II | 37.1% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | PAOK II | 37.1% |
| Draw | 35.9% | |
| Apollon Pontou | 27.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 25.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 74.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 34.9% |
| No | 65.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 64.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | PAOK II win | 14.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.7% | |
| Loss | 62.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 18.7% |
| 1-0 | 15.5% | |
| 1-1 | 14.5% |
PAOK II vs Apollon Pontou stats
PAOK II and Apollon Pontou recent form
| PAOK II |
LDLWLD |
| Apollon Pontou |
WDWLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.