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Super League 2 · Full time ·Matchday 7

PAOK II vs Apollon Pontou

2 – 1 Full time

12′A. Ikobong
20′M. Sifneos
90′D. Kyriakidis
PAOK II 45%
Draw 30%
Apollon Pontou 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

PAOK II vs Apollon Pontou overview

Garuda Lions analysis: PAOK II vs Apollon Pontou

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPAOK IIDrawApollon Pontou
Model36.9%35.9%27.2%
Market48.3%28.2%23.5%
Final45.5%30.2%24.4%
Edge-2.8%+1.9%+0.9%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

PAOK II ↓ / Apollon Pontou → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 19% 12% 1 15% 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 81%
2+ goals 54%
3+ goals 26%
No goals 19%

PAOK II and Apollon Pontou expected goals

PAOK II 0.96
Apollon Pontou 0.79

Total expected goals: 1.75

PAOK II and Apollon Pontou attack and defence ratings

PAOK II

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Apollon Pontou

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 0.82 -18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

PAOK II vs Apollon Pontou: result vs prediction

PAOK II 2 – 1 Apollon Pontou

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Super League 2

Before and after this match

PAOK II vs Apollon Pontou markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 PAOK II 45.5% 2.20 -2.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 74.3% 1.35 — —
Both teams to score No 64.9% 1.54 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.6% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.1% 1.58 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2PAOK II45.5%
Draw30.2%
Apollon Pontou24.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.525.7%
Under 2.574.3%
Both teams to scoreYes35.1%
No64.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.6%
12 (either side)69.8%
X2 (draw or away)54.5%
Handicap -1PAOK II win14.3%
Push (exactly one goal)22.6%
Loss63.1%
Correct score (top 3)0-018.7%
1-015.4%
1-114.5%

PAOK II vs Apollon Pontou stats

PAOK II and Apollon Pontou recent form

newest first
PAOK II LDLWLD
Apollon Pontou WDWLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

PAOK II and Apollon Pontou going into this match

league record before kick-off

PAOK II record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.

Apollon Pontou record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.

PAOK II vs Apollon Pontou head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

5PAOK II wins 1Draws 0Apollon Pontou wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2023-12-18Apollon PontouPAOK IISuper League 20-1
2023-09-25PAOK IIApollon PontouSuper League 24-0
2023-04-05PAOK IIApollon PontouSuper League 21-1
2022-11-20Apollon PontouPAOK IISuper League 21-2
2022-03-06PAOK IIApollon PontouSuper League 22-1
2021-11-28Apollon PontouPAOK IISuper League 20-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

PAOK II vs Apollon Pontou odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.5%, draw 28.6%, away 23.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.86 3.18 3.89
Bet365 1.95 3.25 4.00
Betano 1.95 3.15 3.80
Betfair 1.91 3.00 3.80
Dafabet 1.98 3.20 3.80
Marathonbet 1.84 3.18 3.78
Pinnacle 1.84 3.32 3.83
William Hill 1.91 3.00 3.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.86 ▼ -0.08
X 3.18 ▲ +0.09
2 3.83 ▲ +0.03

7 snapshots recorded, from .