Asteras Tripolis II
vs
Zakynthos
Garuda Lions Prediction: Asteras Tripolis II
1 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
Asteras Tripolis II vs Zakynthos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Asteras Tripolis II vs Zakynthos
| Probability | Asteras Tripolis II | Draw | Zakynthos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.5% | 25.2% | 13.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 61.5% | 25.2% | 13.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Asteras Tripolis II
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 0.68.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Asteras Tripolis II vs Zakynthos match preview
Asteras Tripolis II is favored to win against Zakynthos with a probability of 62%, while a draw stands at 25% and a Zakynthos victory at 13%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, occurring with a probability of 14%. Asteras Tripolis II has an expected goals figure of 1.73, significantly higher than Zakynthos's 0.68.
In terms of recent form, Asteras Tripolis II has recorded a mixed set of results with a sequence of draws and losses, while Zakynthos has struggled, with five winless matches including four losses. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43%, and both teams scoring is projected at 42%. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Asteras Tripolis II and Zakynthos expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.42
Asteras Tripolis II and Zakynthos attack and defence ratings
Asteras Tripolis II
Zakynthos
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Asteras Tripolis II vs Zakynthos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Asteras Tripolis II | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 38.5% | 2.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Asteras Tripolis II | 61.5% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| Zakynthos | 13.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.8% |
| No | 58.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 38.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Asteras Tripolis II win | 36.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.6% | |
| Loss | 38.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.4% |
| 2-0 | 13.4% | |
| 1-1 | 11.6% |
Asteras Tripolis II vs Zakynthos stats
Asteras Tripolis II and Zakynthos recent form
| Asteras Tripolis II |
DWLWLL |
| Zakynthos |
LDLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Asteras Tripolis II and Zakynthos season so far
Asteras Tripolis II record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Zakynthos record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.