Super League 2
·
Full time
·Matchday 7
Asteras Tripolis II
vs
Zakynthos
1 – 1 Full time
| 38′ | H. Frimpong | ||
| 85′ | M. Bastakos |
Asteras Tripolis II
54%
Draw
27%
Zakynthos
19%
Asteras Tripolis II vs Zakynthos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Asteras Tripolis II vs Zakynthos
| Probability | Asteras Tripolis II | Draw | Zakynthos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.5% | 25.2% | 13.3% |
| Market | 51.3% | 28.0% | 20.7% |
| Final | 53.8% | 27.3% | 18.9% |
| Edge | +2.6% | -0.7% | -1.9% |
Why Asteras Tripolis II
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 0.68.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Asteras Tripolis II below our published probability: +2.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
90%
2+ goals
71%
3+ goals
43%
No goals
10%
Asteras Tripolis II and Zakynthos expected goals
Asteras Tripolis II
1.73
Zakynthos
0.68
Total expected goals: 2.42
Asteras Tripolis II and Zakynthos attack and defence ratings
Asteras Tripolis II
Attack
0.81 -19%
Defence
1.06 +6%
Zakynthos
Attack
0.69 -31%
Defence
1.61 +61%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Asteras Tripolis II vs Zakynthos: result vs prediction
Asteras Tripolis II 1 – 1 Zakynthos
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Asteras Tripolis II vs Zakynthos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Asteras Tripolis II | 53.8% | 1.86 | +2.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 38.5% | 2.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Asteras Tripolis II | 53.8% |
| Draw | 27.3% | |
| Zakynthos | 18.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.8% |
| No | 58.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Asteras Tripolis II win | 36.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.6% | |
| Loss | 38.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.4% |
| 2-0 | 13.4% | |
| 1-1 | 11.6% |
Asteras Tripolis II vs Zakynthos stats
Asteras Tripolis II and Zakynthos recent form
| Asteras Tripolis II |
DWLWLL |
| Zakynthos |
LDLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Asteras Tripolis II and Zakynthos going into this match
Asteras Tripolis II record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Zakynthos record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Asteras Tripolis II vs Zakynthos head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Asteras Tripolis II vs Zakynthos odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 51.3%, draw 28.0%, away 20.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.75 | 3.20 | 4.46 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.73 | 3.20 | 4.33 |
| Pinnacle | 1.76 | 3.27 | 4.32 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.20 | 4.20 |