Super League 2 Β· Β·Matchday 8

Zakynthos vs Pyrgos 1968

Garuda Lions Prediction: Zakynthos

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 15% model probability

  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this β€” Zakynthos is the favourite, not a value bet.

Dimotiko Stadio Zakynthos, Zakynthos

Zakynthos 44%
Draw 30%
Pyrgos 1968 26%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Zakynthos wins
44%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
82%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
36%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
15% of simulated outcomes

Zakynthos vs Pyrgos 1968 overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Zakynthos vs Pyrgos 1968

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityZakynthosDrawPyrgos 1968
Model35.4%35.5%29.0%
Market47.0%27.9%25.1%
Final44.1%29.8%26.1%
Edge-2.9%+1.9%+1.0%

Confidence: Low Β· Edge = Final minus Market

Best available price on the pick: 2.00, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -11.8% per unit staked (our 44.1% Γ— 2.00 βˆ’ 1).

Zakynthos vs Pyrgos 1968 match preview

In the upcoming Super League 2 clash, Zakynthos hosts Pyrgos 1968 on October 26, 2026. Zakynthos has a 44% probability of winning, while Pyrgos 1968 stands at 26%, with a 30% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0 in favor of Zakynthos, occurring with a 15% likelihood. Expected goals for Zakynthos are 0.96, compared to Pyrgos 1968's 0.84, indicating a closely contested match.

Recent form shows Zakynthos struggling with a series of draws and losses, recording D-L-D-L-L-L, while Pyrgos 1968 has also faced challenges with L-L-W-D-L-L. The model suggests a 27% chance for over 2.5 goals and a 36% probability that both teams will score, reflecting the potential for a low-scoring encounter. The confidence grade for this match is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Zakynthos ↓ / Pyrgos 1968 β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 18% 13% 1 15% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 82%
2+ goals 55%
3+ goals 27%
No goals 18%

Zakynthos and Pyrgos 1968 expected goals

Zakynthos 0.96
Pyrgos 1968 0.84

Total expected goals: 1.79

Zakynthos and Pyrgos 1968 attack and defence ratings

Zakynthos

Attack 0.72 -28%
Defence 1.53 +53%

Pyrgos 1968

Attack 0.59 -41%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Super League 2

Before and after this match

Zakynthos vs Pyrgos 1968 markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Zakynthos 44.1% 2.27 -2.9% 2.00
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 73.2% 1.37 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 63.7% 1.57 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.9% 1.35 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 64.6% 1.55 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Zakynthos44.1%
Draw29.8%
Pyrgos 196826.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.526.8%
Under 2.573.2%
Both teams to scoreYes36.3%
No63.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.9%
12 (either side)70.2%
X2 (draw or away)55.9%
Handicap -1Zakynthos win13.6%
Push (exactly one goal)21.8%
Loss64.6%
Correct score (top 3)0-018.0%
1-114.7%
1-014.6%

Zakynthos vs Pyrgos 1968 stats

Zakynthos and Pyrgos 1968 recent form

newest first
Zakynthos DLDLLL
Pyrgos 1968 LLWDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Zakynthos and Pyrgos 1968 season so far

league record

Zakynthos record

  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.

Pyrgos 1968 record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 6 matches.

Zakynthos vs Pyrgos 1968 head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Zakynthos vs Pyrgos 1968 odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.0%, draw 27.9%, away 25.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.91 3.24 3.62
Bet365 1.95 3.25 4.00
Betano 2.00 3.25 3.60
Betfair 1.91 3.25 3.60
Dafabet 2.00 3.25 3.70
Marathonbet 1.89 3.24 3.52

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.93 β–² +0.02
X 3.25 β–² +0.01
2 3.61 β–Ό -0.01

5 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Zakynthos Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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