Kallithea
vs
Larisa
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kallithea
1 – 0 Predicted score · 16% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.20 vs 0.72.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Kallithea is the favourite, not a value bet.
Kallithea vs Larisa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kallithea vs Larisa
| Probability | Kallithea | Draw | Larisa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.1% | 32.9% | 21.0% |
| Market | 42.4% | 31.1% | 26.5% |
| Final | 43.3% | 31.6% | 25.1% |
| Edge | +0.9% | +0.5% | -1.4% |
Why Kallithea
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.20 vs 0.72.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.22, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.8% per unit staked (our 43.3% × 2.22 − 1).
Kallithea vs Larisa match preview
Kallithea will face Larisa in their upcoming Super League 2 match, with Kallithea holding a 46% probability of winning according to our model. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0 in favor of Kallithea, with an expected goals tally of 1.20 for Kallithea and 0.72 for Larisa. Both teams have had mixed recent performances, with Kallithea recording a D-W-W-W-W-L streak and Larisa showing a D-L-D-W-W-D form.
Historically, Kallithea has struggled against Larisa, with the latter winning 5 out of their last 7 encounters, while Kallithea has managed only 2 victories. The probability of a draw stands at 33%, while Larisa has a 21% chance of winning. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match is estimated at 30%, and both teams scoring is projected at 37%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kallithea and Larisa expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.92
Kallithea and Larisa attack and defence ratings
Kallithea
Larisa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kallithea vs Larisa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kallithea | 43.3% | 2.31 | +0.9% | 2.22 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.9% | 1.85 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kallithea | 43.3% |
| Draw | 31.6% | |
| Larisa | 25.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 30.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 69.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.1% |
| No | 62.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kallithea win | 21.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.1% | |
| Loss | 53.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 16.3% |
| 0-0 | 16.0% | |
| 1-1 | 13.9% |
Kallithea vs Larisa stats
Kallithea and Larisa recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kallithea and Larisa season so far
Kallithea record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Larisa record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Kallithea vs Larisa head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Kallithea | Larisa | Greece Cup | 1-3 |
| 2016-04-02 | Larisa | Kallithea | Football League | 1-0 |
| 2015-11-22 | Kallithea | Larisa | Football League | 0-1 |
| 2013-05-26 | Larisa | Kallithea | Football League | 2-1 |
| 2013-02-10 | Kallithea | Larisa | Football League | 0-1 |
| 2012-05-13 | Larisa | Kallithea | Football League | 0-1 |
| 2012-01-29 | Kallithea | Larisa | Football League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kallithea vs Larisa odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.4%, draw 31.1%, away 26.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.10 | 2.93 | 3.44 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 2.20 | 2.90 | 3.45 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.00 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.22 | 2.95 | 3.55 |
| Marathonbet | 2.08 | 2.93 | 3.34 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 2.80 | 3.40 |