Nestos Chrisoupolis
vs
Kallithea
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kallithea
0 – 1 Predicted score · 14% model probability
Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Kallithea overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Kallithea
| Probability | Nestos Chrisoupolis | Draw | Kallithea |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.1% | 31.2% | 46.7% |
| Market | 21.6% | 28.4% | 50.0% |
| Final | 21.7% | 29.1% | 49.2% |
| Edge | +0.5% | +2.8% | -3.3% |
Why Kallithea
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.30 vs 0.82.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.89, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Kallithea match preview
Nestos Chrisoupolis faces Kallithea in a Super League 2 match on October 18, 2026. According to our model, Nestos Chrisoupolis has a 22% chance of winning, while Kallithea is favored with a 49% probability. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, with an expected goals tally of 0.88 for Nestos Chrisoupolis and 1.33 for Kallithea.
Recent form shows Nestos Chrisoupolis struggling with four consecutive losses, followed by a win and another loss, while Kallithea has shown a stronger performance with three wins, one loss, and one additional win in their last six matches. The probabilities for over 2.5 goals stand at 38%, and both teams to score is at 44%, indicating a potentially low-scoring encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Nestos Chrisoupolis and Kallithea expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.12
Nestos Chrisoupolis and Kallithea attack and defence ratings
Nestos Chrisoupolis
Kallithea
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Kallithea markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kallithea | 49.2% | 2.03 | -3.3% | 1.89 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nestos Chrisoupolis | 21.7% |
| Draw | 29.1% | |
| Kallithea | 49.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.9% |
| No | 58.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 50.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 78.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kallithea win | 22.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.3% | |
| Loss | 53.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 14.4% |
| 1-1 | 14.1% | |
| 0-0 | 13.3% |
Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Kallithea stats
Nestos Chrisoupolis and Kallithea recent form
| Nestos Chrisoupolis |
LLLLWL |
| Kallithea |
WWWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Nestos Chrisoupolis and Kallithea season so far
Kallithea record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Kallithea head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Kallithea odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 21.6%, draw 28.4%, away 50.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.22 | 3.20 | 1.79 |
| Bet365 | 4.20 | 3.20 | 1.83 |
| Betano | 4.20 | 3.20 | 1.85 |
| Betfair | 4.20 | 3.25 | 1.80 |
| Dafabet | 4.20 | 3.25 | 1.89 |
| Marathonbet | 4.10 | 3.20 | 1.77 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .