Marko
vs
Ellas Syros
Garuda Lions Prediction: Marko
1 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability
Marko vs Ellas Syros overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Marko vs Ellas Syros
| Probability | Marko | Draw | Ellas Syros |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.5% | 33.5% | 25.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 40.5% | 33.5% | 25.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Marko
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Marko vs Ellas Syros match preview
Marko is set to face Ellas Syros in a Super League 2 clash on October 17, 2026. According to our model, the probabilities indicate a 41% chance of a Marko victory, a 34% likelihood of a draw, and a 26% chance for Ellas Syros. The expected goals suggest Marko will score approximately 1.11, while Ellas Syros is projected to net around 0.84 goals. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 1-0 in favor of Marko, occurring with a 15% probability.
In terms of recent form, Marko has shown strong performance with four wins in their last six matches, while Ellas Syros has recorded two wins, two draws, and two losses in the same period. The head-to-head record over the last five encounters favors Marko slightly, with two wins, two draws, and one win for Ellas Syros. Overall, the confidence grade for this match stands at C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Marko and Ellas Syros expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.95
Marko and Ellas Syros attack and defence ratings
Marko
Ellas Syros
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Marko vs Ellas Syros markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Marko | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Marko | 40.5% |
| Draw | 33.5% | |
| Ellas Syros | 25.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 69.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.4% |
| No | 60.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Marko win | 17.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 59.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.5% |
| 1-1 | 14.6% | |
| 1-0 | 14.5% |
Marko vs Ellas Syros stats
Marko and Ellas Syros recent form
| Marko |
WWWWLW |
| Ellas Syros |
LDDWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Marko and Ellas Syros season so far
Marko record
- They have won 6 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
Ellas Syros record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Marko vs Ellas Syros head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Ellas Syros | Marko | Greece Cup | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-13 | Ellas Syros | Marko | Super League 2 | 0-2 |
| 2025-10-11 | Marko | Ellas Syros | Super League 2 | 1-1 |
| 2024-02-04 | Ellas Syros | Marko | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 | 2-0 |
| 2023-10-01 | Marko | Ellas Syros | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.