Garuda Lions
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Super League 2 · Full time ·Matchday 7

Marko vs Ellas Syros

0 – 0 Full time

Marko 55%
Draw 28%
Ellas Syros 18%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Marko vs Ellas Syros overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Marko vs Ellas Syros

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMarkoDrawEllas Syros
Model40.5%33.5%25.9%
Market59.2%25.7%15.1%
Final54.5%27.7%17.8%
Edge-4.7%+2.0%+2.7%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Marko

  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Marko ↓ / Ellas Syros → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 16% 11% 1 14% 15% 2 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 84%
2+ goals 59%
3+ goals 31%
No goals 16%

Marko and Ellas Syros expected goals

Marko 1.11
Ellas Syros 0.84

Total expected goals: 1.95

Marko and Ellas Syros attack and defence ratings

Marko

Attack 1.28 +28%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Ellas Syros

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 0.66 -34%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Marko vs Ellas Syros: result vs prediction

Marko 0 – 0 Ellas Syros

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Super League 2

Before and after this match

Marko vs Ellas Syros markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Marko 54.5% 1.83 -4.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 69.0% 1.45 — —
Both teams to score No 60.6% 1.65 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 82.2% 1.22 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.5% 1.68 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Marko54.5%
Draw27.7%
Ellas Syros17.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.531.0%
Under 2.569.0%
Both teams to scoreYes39.4%
No60.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)82.2%
12 (either side)72.3%
X2 (draw or away)45.5%
Handicap -1Marko win17.4%
Push (exactly one goal)23.1%
Loss59.5%
Correct score (top 3)0-015.5%
1-114.6%
1-014.5%

Marko vs Ellas Syros stats

Marko and Ellas Syros recent form

newest first
Marko WWWWLW
Ellas Syros LDDWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Marko and Ellas Syros going into this match

league record before kick-off

Marko record

  • They have won 6 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.

Ellas Syros record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.

Marko vs Ellas Syros head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2Marko wins 2Draws 1Ellas Syros wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-24Ellas SyrosMarkoGreece Cup1-1
2025-12-13Ellas SyrosMarkoSuper League 20-2
2025-10-11MarkoEllas SyrosSuper League 21-1
2024-02-04Ellas SyrosMarkoGamma Ethniki - Group 32-0
2023-10-01MarkoEllas SyrosGamma Ethniki - Group 31-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Marko vs Ellas Syros odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 59.2%, draw 25.7%, away 15.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.50 3.52 6.33
Bet365 1.65 3.60 5.25
Marathonbet 1.49 3.52 6.00
Pinnacle 1.53 3.55 5.93
William Hill 1.55 3.40 6.00

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.