Super League 2 Β· Β·Matchday 8

Panserraikos vs Ellas Syros

Garuda Lions Prediction: Ellas Syros

0 – 1 Predicted score Β· 15% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.25 vs 0.79.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Dimotiko Stadio Serron, Serres

Panserraikos 22%
Draw 32%
Ellas Syros 46%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Ellas Syros wins
46%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
86%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
40%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 1
15% of simulated outcomes

Panserraikos vs Ellas Syros overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Panserraikos vs Ellas Syros

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPanserraikosDrawEllas Syros
Model22.2%32.0%45.8%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final22.2%32.0%45.8%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Ellas Syros

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.25 vs 0.79.

Panserraikos vs Ellas Syros match preview

In the upcoming Super League 2 match, Panserraikos will face Ellas Syros on October 24, 2026. According to our model, Panserraikos has a 22% chance of winning, while Ellas Syros holds a 46% probability of victory, with a 32% likelihood of a draw. The expected goals for Panserraikos are 0.79, compared to 1.25 for Ellas Syros, suggesting a potential advantage for the visitors.

Recent form indicates that Panserraikos has recorded a series of mixed results with two draws, two wins, and two losses, while Ellas Syros comes off a stronger run with two wins and three draws in their last five matches. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-1, with a 15% probability, and there is a 40% chance that both teams will score.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Panserraikos ↓ / Ellas Syros β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 15% 10% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 62%
3+ goals 33%
No goals 14%

Panserraikos and Ellas Syros expected goals

Panserraikos 0.79
Ellas Syros 1.25

Total expected goals: 2.04

Panserraikos and Ellas Syros attack and defence ratings

Panserraikos

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.36 +36%

Ellas Syros

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 0.60 -40%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Super League 2

Before and after this match

Panserraikos vs Ellas Syros markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Ellas Syros 45.8% 2.18 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 66.7% 1.50 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 59.8% 1.67 β€” β€”
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 77.8% 1.29 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 54.2% 1.85 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Panserraikos22.2%
Draw32.0%
Ellas Syros45.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.533.3%
Under 2.566.7%
Both teams to scoreYes40.2%
No59.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)54.2%
12 (either side)68.0%
X2 (draw or away)77.8%
Handicap -1Ellas Syros win21.4%
Push (exactly one goal)24.4%
Loss54.2%
Correct score (top 3)0-115.0%
0-014.3%
1-114.1%

Panserraikos vs Ellas Syros stats

Panserraikos and Ellas Syros recent form

newest first
Panserraikos DWDWLL
Ellas Syros DLDDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Panserraikos and Ellas Syros season so far

league record

Panserraikos record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.

Ellas Syros record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.

Panserraikos vs Ellas Syros head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Panserraikos vs Ellas Syros odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Ellas Syros Predicted score 0 – 1 Low Bet Now
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