Super League 2 Β· Β·Matchday 8

Anagennisi Karditsas vs PAOK II

Garuda Lions Prediction: Anagennisi Karditsas

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 13% model probability

  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this β€” Anagennisi Karditsas is the favourite, not a value bet.
Anagennisi Karditsas 49%
Draw 29%
PAOK II 22%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Anagennisi Karditsas wins
49%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
84%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
39%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
13% of simulated outcomes

Anagennisi Karditsas vs PAOK II overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Anagennisi Karditsas vs PAOK II

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAnagennisi KarditsasDrawPAOK II
Model34.3%34.4%31.2%
Market54.0%26.8%19.2%
Final49.1%28.7%22.2%
Edge-4.9%+1.9%+3.0%

Confidence: Low Β· Edge = Final minus Market

Best available price on the pick: 1.72, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -15.5% per unit staked (our 49.1% Γ— 1.72 βˆ’ 1).

Anagennisi Karditsas vs PAOK II match preview

Anagennisi Karditsas faces PAOK II in a Super League 2 matchup on October 25, 2026. According to our model, Anagennisi Karditsas has a 34% chance of winning, while PAOK II has a 31% probability. The most likely scoreline is a 0-0 draw, predicted at 16%. Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Anagennisi Karditsas recording two wins, one draw, and three losses in their last six matches, while PAOK II has two wins, one draw, and three losses.

Expected goals for the match are 0.98 for Anagennisi Karditsas and 0.92 for PAOK II, indicating a closely contested game. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 30%, and the probability of both teams scoring is at 39%. In their last two encounters, Anagennisi Karditsas has secured two wins against PAOK II, who have yet to record a victory in this matchup.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Anagennisi Kar ↓ / PAOK II β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 16% 12% 1 13% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 84%
2+ goals 58%
3+ goals 30%
No goals 16%

Anagennisi Karditsas and PAOK II expected goals

Anagennisi Karditsas 0.98
PAOK II 0.92

Total expected goals: 1.91

Anagennisi Karditsas and PAOK II attack and defence ratings

Anagennisi Karditsas

Attack 0.73 -27%
Defence 1.02 +2%

PAOK II

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Super League 2

Before and after this match

Anagennisi Karditsas vs PAOK II markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Anagennisi Karditsas 49.1% 2.04 -4.9% 1.72
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 70.2% 1.42 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 60.9% 1.64 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.8% 1.29 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 65.7% 1.52 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Anagennisi Karditsas49.1%
Draw28.7%
PAOK II22.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.529.8%
Under 2.570.2%
Both teams to scoreYes39.1%
No60.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.8%
12 (either side)71.3%
X2 (draw or away)50.9%
Handicap -1Anagennisi Karditsas win13.4%
Push (exactly one goal)21.0%
Loss65.7%
Correct score (top 3)0-016.2%
1-114.8%
1-013.2%

Anagennisi Karditsas vs PAOK II stats

Anagennisi Karditsas and PAOK II recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Anagennisi Karditsas and PAOK II season so far

league record

Anagennisi Karditsas record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.

PAOK II record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.

Anagennisi Karditsas vs PAOK II head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

2Anagennisi Karditsas wins 0Draws 0PAOK II wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-11-22Anagennisi KarditsasPAOK IISuper League 22-1
2025-09-20PAOK IIAnagennisi KarditsasSuper League 20-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Anagennisi Karditsas vs PAOK II odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 54.0%, draw 26.8%, away 19.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.67 3.35 4.73
Bet365 1.70 3.40 4.75
Betano 1.72 3.40 4.70
Betfair 1.67 3.40 4.75
Dafabet 1.72 3.50 4.90
Marathonbet 1.65 3.35 4.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.69 β–² +0.02
X 3.40 β–² +0.02
2 4.74 β€”

6 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Anagennisi Karditsas Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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