PAOK II
vs
Zakynthos
Garuda Lions Prediction: PAOK II
1 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.77 vs 0.70.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
PAOK II vs Zakynthos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: PAOK II vs Zakynthos
| Probability | PAOK II | Draw | Zakynthos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.2% | 24.7% | 13.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 62.2% | 24.7% | 13.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why PAOK II
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.77 vs 0.70.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
PAOK II vs Zakynthos match preview
PAOK II is favored to win with a 62% probability against Zakynthos, who has a 13% chance of securing a victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, with a 14% likelihood. PAOK II has an expected goals figure of 1.77, while Zakynthos sits at 0.70, indicating a significant disparity in offensive output.
In terms of recent form, PAOK II has recorded a mixed set of results with two wins and three losses in their last five matches. Conversely, Zakynthos has struggled significantly, managing just one draw and four losses in their recent outings. The probabilities for over 2.5 goals stand at 45%, and both teams to score is projected at 43%, suggesting a potentially low-scoring affair.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
PAOK II and Zakynthos expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.47
PAOK II and Zakynthos attack and defence ratings
PAOK II
Zakynthos
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
PAOK II vs Zakynthos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | PAOK II | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.9% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 37.8% | 2.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | PAOK II | 62.2% |
| Draw | 24.7% | |
| Zakynthos | 13.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.7% |
| No | 57.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 37.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | PAOK II win | 36.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.3% | |
| Loss | 37.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.9% |
| 2-0 | 13.3% | |
| 1-1 | 11.5% |
PAOK II vs Zakynthos stats
PAOK II and Zakynthos recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
PAOK II and Zakynthos season so far
PAOK II record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
Zakynthos record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.