Marko
vs
Apollon Pontou
Garuda Lions Prediction: Marko
1 – 0 Predicted score · 17% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 0.49.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Marko vs Apollon Pontou overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Marko vs Apollon Pontou
| Probability | Marko | Draw | Apollon Pontou |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 69.4% | 22.3% | 8.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 69.4% | 22.3% | 8.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Marko
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 0.49.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Marko vs Apollon Pontou match preview
Marko enters the match against Apollon Pontou with a strong probability of winning at 69%, while Apollon Pontou has an 8% chance of securing a victory. The expected goals for Marko stand at 1.85, significantly higher than Apollon Pontou's 0.49. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, with a 17% probability, indicating a close contest.
In terms of recent form, Marko has been impressive, recording five consecutive wins followed by a draw, while Apollon Pontou's form has been more inconsistent, with two losses in their last six matches. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42%, and both teams to score sits at 34%, suggesting a potentially low-scoring affair.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Marko and Apollon Pontou expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.34
Marko and Apollon Pontou attack and defence ratings
Marko
Apollon Pontou
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Marko vs Apollon Pontou markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Marko | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Marko win | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Marko | 69.4% |
| Draw | 22.3% | |
| Apollon Pontou | 8.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33.7% |
| No | 66.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 30.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Marko win | 43.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.3% | |
| Loss | 30.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 16.9% |
| 2-0 | 16.4% | |
| 0-0 | 10.5% |
Marko vs Apollon Pontou stats
Marko and Apollon Pontou recent form
| Marko |
WDWWWW |
| Apollon Pontou |
LLWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Marko and Apollon Pontou season so far
Marko record
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
Apollon Pontou record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.