Asteras Tripolis II
vs
Pyrgos 1968
Garuda Lions Prediction: Asteras Tripolis II
1 – 0 Predicted score · 18% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.14 vs 0.62.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Asteras Tripolis II vs Pyrgos 1968 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Asteras Tripolis II vs Pyrgos 1968
| Probability | Asteras Tripolis II | Draw | Pyrgos 1968 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.0% | 34.1% | 18.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 47.0% | 34.1% | 18.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Asteras Tripolis II
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.14 vs 0.62.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Asteras Tripolis II vs Pyrgos 1968 match preview
Asteras Tripolis II faces Pyrgos 1968 in an upcoming Super League 2 match, with kickoff scheduled for November 1, 2026. According to our model, Asteras Tripolis II has a 47% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 34% and Pyrgos 1968 at 19%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0, with an 18% likelihood. Asteras Tripolis II has an expected goals tally of 1.14, compared to Pyrgos 1968's 0.62.
In terms of recent form, Asteras Tripolis II has recorded three draws, a win, and a loss in their last six matches. Pyrgos 1968, on the other hand, has struggled, with two losses, a win, a draw, and two additional losses in their recent outings. Both teams have a 33% chance of scoring, while the probability of over 2.5 goals is at 26%. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Asteras Tripolis II and Pyrgos 1968 expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.76
Asteras Tripolis II and Pyrgos 1968 attack and defence ratings
Asteras Tripolis II
Pyrgos 1968
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Asteras Tripolis II vs Pyrgos 1968 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Asteras Tripolis II | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Asteras Tripolis II | 47.0% |
| Draw | 34.1% | |
| Pyrgos 1968 | 18.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 26.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 74.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32.8% |
| No | 67.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 65.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Asteras Tripolis II win | 20.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.2% | |
| Loss | 53.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 18.4% |
| 1-0 | 18.3% | |
| 1-1 | 13.4% |
Asteras Tripolis II vs Pyrgos 1968 stats
Asteras Tripolis II and Pyrgos 1968 recent form
| Asteras Tripolis II |
DDDWLW |
| Pyrgos 1968 |
LLWDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Asteras Tripolis II and Pyrgos 1968 season so far
Asteras Tripolis II record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Pyrgos 1968 record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They average 0.7 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 7 matches.