Pyrgos 1968
vs
PAOK II
Garuda Lions Prediction: Pyrgos 1968
1 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Pyrgos 1968 is the favourite, not a value bet.
Pyrgos 1968 vs PAOK II overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Pyrgos 1968 vs PAOK II
| Probability | Pyrgos 1968 | Draw | PAOK II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.1% | 33.5% | 27.4% |
| Market | 41.6% | 29.0% | 29.4% |
| Final | 41.0% | 30.1% | 28.9% |
| Edge | -0.6% | +1.1% | -0.5% |
Why Pyrgos 1968
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.27, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.0% per unit staked (our 41.0% × 2.27 − 1).
Pyrgos 1968 vs PAOK II match preview
Pyrgos 1968 enters the match against PAOK II with a probability of 39% to win, while both teams share a 30% chance of a draw or a PAOK II victory. The expected goals for Pyrgos 1968 stand at 1.10, compared to PAOK II's 0.87, indicating a slight edge for the home side. The most likely scoreline according to our model is 1-0, occurring with a 14% probability.
In terms of recent form, Pyrgos 1968 has recorded a mixed bag of results with a draw, win, loss, loss, win, and draw in their last six matches. Conversely, PAOK II's recent performance has been less consistent, featuring a draw, loss, win, loss, draw, and loss. Both teams to score has a probability of 40%, while the likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 32%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Pyrgos 1968 and PAOK II expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.97
Pyrgos 1968 and PAOK II attack and defence ratings
Pyrgos 1968
PAOK II
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Pyrgos 1968 vs PAOK II markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pyrgos 1968 | 41.0% | 2.44 | -0.6% | 2.27 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pyrgos 1968 | 41.0% |
| Draw | 30.1% | |
| PAOK II | 28.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.2% |
| No | 59.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Pyrgos 1968 win | 16.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 60.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.3% |
| 1-1 | 14.7% | |
| 1-0 | 13.9% |
Pyrgos 1968 vs PAOK II stats
Pyrgos 1968 and PAOK II recent form
| Pyrgos 1968 |
DWLLWD |
| PAOK II |
DLWLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Pyrgos 1968 and PAOK II season so far
Pyrgos 1968 record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 8 matches.
PAOK II record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
Pyrgos 1968 vs PAOK II head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Pyrgos 1968 vs PAOK II odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.6%, draw 29.0%, away 29.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.27 | 3.08 | 2.92 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 2.12 | 3.15 | 3.35 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.22 | 3.20 | 3.25 |
| Marathonbet | 2.25 | 3.08 | 2.84 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .