Zakynthos
vs
Niki Volos
Garuda Lions Prediction: Niki Volos
0 β 1 Predicted score Β· 13% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 0.87.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this β Niki Volos is the favourite, not a value bet.
Zakynthos vs Niki Volos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zakynthos vs Niki Volos
| Probability | Zakynthos | Draw | Niki Volos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20.0% | 28.1% | 51.9% |
| Market | 5.9% | 17.6% | 76.6% |
| Final | 9.4% | 20.2% | 70.4% |
| Edge | +3.5% | +2.6% | -6.2% |
Why Niki Volos
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 0.87.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.27, recorded β the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.6% per unit staked (our 70.4% Γ 1.27 β 1).
Zakynthos vs Niki Volos match preview
Zakynthos faces Niki Volos in the Super League 2 with contrasting recent form. Zakynthos has struggled, recording a series of draws and losses, with their last five matches resulting in D-L-D-L-D-L. In contrast, Niki Volos has shown strong performance, winning three of their last five games and drawing twice, indicating a solid run of form.
The probabilities suggest a significant advantage for Niki Volos, with a 70% chance of victory compared to Zakynthos's 10%. Our model predicts a likely scoreline of 0-1, occurring with a 13% probability. Expected goals for Zakynthos stand at 0.87, while Niki Volos is projected at 1.54, further emphasizing the disparity in offensive output between the two teams.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Zakynthos and Niki Volos expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.41
Zakynthos and Niki Volos attack and defence ratings
Zakynthos
Niki Volos
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Zakynthos vs Niki Volos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Niki Volos | 70.4% | 1.42 | -6.2% | 1.27 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.7% | 1.76 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.2% | 1.88 | β | β |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 90.6% | 1.10 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.1% | 2.08 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zakynthos | 9.4% |
| Draw | 20.2% | |
| Niki Volos | 70.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.8% |
| No | 53.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 29.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 90.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Niki Volos win | 27.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.2% | |
| Loss | 48.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 0-1 | 12.6% | |
| 0-2 | 10.7% |
Zakynthos vs Niki Volos stats
Zakynthos and Niki Volos recent form
| DLDLDL | |
| WWWDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zakynthos and Niki Volos season so far
Zakynthos record
- They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Niki Volos record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
Zakynthos vs Niki Volos head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Zakynthos vs Niki Volos odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 5.9%, draw 17.6%, away 76.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 20.00 | 5.05 | 1.14 |
| Bet365 | 10.00 | 4.75 | 1.27 |
| Betano | 15.50 | 5.30 | 1.20 |
| Betfair | 14.00 | 5.50 | 1.15 |
| Dafabet | 15.00 | 5.20 | 1.22 |
| Marathonbet | 20.00 | 5.05 | 1.14 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .