Super League 2 Β· Β·Matchday 10

Zakynthos vs Niki Volos

Garuda Lions Prediction: Niki Volos

0 – 1 Predicted score Β· 13% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 0.87.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this β€” Niki Volos is the favourite, not a value bet.

Dimotiko Stadio Zakynthos, Zakynthos

Zakynthos 9%
Draw 20%
Niki Volos 70%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Niki Volos wins
70%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
90%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
47%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 1
13% of simulated outcomes

Zakynthos vs Niki Volos overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Zakynthos vs Niki Volos

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityZakynthosDrawNiki Volos
Model20.0%28.1%51.9%
Market5.9%17.6%76.6%
Final9.4%20.2%70.4%
Edge+3.5%+2.6%-6.2%

Confidence: Low Β· Edge = Final minus Market

Why Niki Volos

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 0.87.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Best available price on the pick: 1.27, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.6% per unit staked (our 70.4% Γ— 1.27 βˆ’ 1).

Zakynthos vs Niki Volos match preview

Zakynthos faces Niki Volos in the Super League 2 with contrasting recent form. Zakynthos has struggled, recording a series of draws and losses, with their last five matches resulting in D-L-D-L-D-L. In contrast, Niki Volos has shown strong performance, winning three of their last five games and drawing twice, indicating a solid run of form.

The probabilities suggest a significant advantage for Niki Volos, with a 70% chance of victory compared to Zakynthos's 10%. Our model predicts a likely scoreline of 0-1, occurring with a 13% probability. Expected goals for Zakynthos stand at 0.87, while Niki Volos is projected at 1.54, further emphasizing the disparity in offensive output between the two teams.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Zakynthos ↓ / Niki Volos β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 13% 11% 1 13% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 43%
No goals 10%

Zakynthos and Niki Volos expected goals

Zakynthos 0.87
Niki Volos 1.54

Total expected goals: 2.41

Zakynthos and Niki Volos attack and defence ratings

Zakynthos

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.53 +53%

Niki Volos

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Super League 2

Before and after this match

Zakynthos vs Niki Volos markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Niki Volos 70.4% 1.42 -6.2% 1.27
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.7% 1.76 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 53.2% 1.88 β€” β€”
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 90.6% 1.10 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 48.1% 2.08 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Zakynthos9.4%
Draw20.2%
Niki Volos70.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543.3%
Under 2.556.7%
Both teams to scoreYes46.8%
No53.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)29.6%
12 (either side)79.8%
X2 (draw or away)90.6%
Handicap -1Niki Volos win27.7%
Push (exactly one goal)24.2%
Loss48.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.2%
0-112.6%
0-210.7%

Zakynthos vs Niki Volos stats

Zakynthos and Niki Volos recent form

newest first
Zakynthos DLDLDL
Niki Volos WWWDWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Zakynthos and Niki Volos season so far

league record

Zakynthos record

  • They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.

Niki Volos record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.

Zakynthos vs Niki Volos head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Zakynthos vs Niki Volos odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 5.9%, draw 17.6%, away 76.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 20.00 5.05 1.14
Bet365 10.00 4.75 1.27
Betano 15.50 5.30 1.20
Betfair 14.00 5.50 1.15
Dafabet 15.00 5.20 1.22
Marathonbet 20.00 5.05 1.14

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 15.25 β–² +7.25
X 5.12 β–² +1.12
2 1.17 β–Ό -0.16

10 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 2 Niki Volos Predicted score 0 – 1 Low Bet Now
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