Niki Volos
vs
Pyrgos 1968
Garuda Lions Prediction: Niki Volos
2 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 0.65.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Niki Volos is the favourite, not a value bet.
Niki Volos vs Pyrgos 1968 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Niki Volos vs Pyrgos 1968
| Probability | Niki Volos | Draw | Pyrgos 1968 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67.1% | 22.3% | 10.6% |
| Market | 71.9% | 19.1% | 9.1% |
| Final | 70.7% | 19.9% | 9.4% |
| Edge | -1.2% | +0.8% | +0.4% |
Why Niki Volos
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 0.65.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.30, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.1% per unit staked (our 70.7% × 1.30 − 1).
Niki Volos vs Pyrgos 1968 match preview
Niki Volos enters the match against Pyrgos 1968 with a strong probability of winning at 70%. Their recent form is impressive, with four wins and a draw in their last six matches. The expected goals for Niki Volos is 1.92, suggesting a solid offensive performance, while Pyrgos 1968 has an expected goals figure of only 0.65, indicating potential struggles in attack.
The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0 in favor of Niki Volos, with a 14% likelihood. Additionally, there is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match, and a 42% probability that both teams will find the net. Pyrgos 1968's recent form shows inconsistency, with two losses in their last three matches, which could further challenge their performance.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Niki Volos and Pyrgos 1968 expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.58
Niki Volos and Pyrgos 1968 attack and defence ratings
Niki Volos
Pyrgos 1968
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Niki Volos vs Pyrgos 1968 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Niki Volos | 70.7% | 1.41 | -1.2% | 1.30 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.3% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.6% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Niki Volos win | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Niki Volos | 70.7% |
| Draw | 19.9% | |
| Pyrgos 1968 | 9.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.7% |
| No | 58.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 29.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Niki Volos win | 42.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.0% | |
| Loss | 32.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 14.2% |
| 1-0 | 13.7% | |
| 1-1 | 10.4% |
Niki Volos vs Pyrgos 1968 stats
Niki Volos and Pyrgos 1968 recent form
| Niki Volos |
WWWWDW |
| Pyrgos 1968 |
LDWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Niki Volos and Pyrgos 1968 season so far
Niki Volos record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
Pyrgos 1968 record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 10 matches.
Niki Volos vs Pyrgos 1968 head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Niki Volos vs Pyrgos 1968 odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 71.9%, draw 19.1%, away 9.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.23 | 4.70 | 12.10 |
| Bet365 | 1.30 | 4.75 | 10.00 |
| Betano | 1.30 | 4.75 | 9.00 |
| Betfair | 1.22 | 5.00 | 9.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.29 | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.22 | 4.70 | 11.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .