Larisa
vs
Nestos Chrisoupolis
0 – 0 Full time
| 90′ | Larisa |
Larisa vs Nestos Chrisoupolis overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Larisa vs Nestos Chrisoupolis
| Probability | Larisa | Draw | Nestos Chrisoupolis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 76.2% | 17.5% | 6.3% |
| Market | 67.1% | 21.1% | 11.7% |
| Final | 69.4% | 20.2% | 10.4% |
| Edge | +2.3% | -0.9% | -1.4% |
Why Larisa
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.26 vs 0.52.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Larisa below our published probability: +2.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Larisa and Nestos Chrisoupolis expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.78
Larisa and Nestos Chrisoupolis attack and defence ratings
Larisa
Nestos Chrisoupolis
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Larisa vs Nestos Chrisoupolis: result vs prediction
Larisa 0 – 0 Nestos Chrisoupolis
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Larisa vs Nestos Chrisoupolis markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Larisa | 69.4% | 1.44 | +2.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.6% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Larisa win | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Larisa | 69.4% |
| Draw | 20.2% | |
| Nestos Chrisoupolis | 10.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.2% |
| No | 62.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 30.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Larisa win | 53.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.3% | |
| Loss | 23.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 15.8% |
| 1-0 | 13.3% | |
| 3-0 | 11.9% |
Larisa vs Nestos Chrisoupolis stats
Larisa and Nestos Chrisoupolis recent form
| Larisa |
WWWDDL |
| Nestos Chrisoupolis |
LLLWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Larisa and Nestos Chrisoupolis going into this match
Larisa record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Nestos Chrisoupolis record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
Larisa vs Nestos Chrisoupolis head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Larisa vs Nestos Chrisoupolis odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 67.1%, draw 21.1%, away 11.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.31 | 4.25 | 9.15 |
| Bet365 | 1.42 | 4.50 | 7.00 |
| Betano | 1.40 | 4.40 | 6.90 |
| Betfair | 1.29 | 4.75 | 8.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.40 | 4.50 | 7.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.30 | 4.25 | 8.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.37 | 4.27 | 7.37 |
| William Hill | 1.36 | 4.00 | 8.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .