Super League 2 · Full time ·Matchday 11

Asteras Tripolis II vs PAOK II

4 – 0 Full time

19′D. Grammenos
41′A. Kola
67′A. Kola
71′D. Grammenos
Asteras Tripolis II 45%
Draw 29%
PAOK II 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Asteras Tripolis II vs PAOK II overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Asteras Tripolis II vs PAOK II

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAsteras Tripolis IIDrawPAOK II
Model41.5%29.1%29.4%
Market45.7%28.4%25.9%
Final44.6%28.6%26.8%
Edge-1.1%+0.2%+0.9%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Asteras Tripol ↓ / PAOK II → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 8% 1 10% 14% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

Asteras Tripolis II and PAOK II expected goals

Asteras Tripolis II 1.39
PAOK II 1.13

Total expected goals: 2.52

Asteras Tripolis II and PAOK II attack and defence ratings

Asteras Tripolis II

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 1.04 +4%

PAOK II

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Asteras Tripolis II vs PAOK II: result vs prediction

Asteras Tripolis II 4 – 0 PAOK II

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Super League 2

Before and after this match

Asteras Tripolis II vs PAOK II markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Asteras Tripolis II 44.6% 2.24 -1.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.8% 1.86 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.2% 1.92 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.2% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.3% 1.72 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Asteras Tripolis II44.6%
Draw28.6%
PAOK II26.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.2%
Under 2.553.8%
Both teams to scoreYes52.2%
No47.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.2%
12 (either side)71.4%
X2 (draw or away)55.4%
Handicap -1Asteras Tripolis II win20.4%
Push (exactly one goal)21.4%
Loss58.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.9%
1-09.9%
0-09.3%

Asteras Tripolis II vs PAOK II stats

Asteras Tripolis II and PAOK II recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Asteras Tripolis II and PAOK II going into this match

league record before kick-off

Asteras Tripolis II record

  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.

PAOK II record

  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.

Asteras Tripolis II vs PAOK II head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Asteras Tripolis II wins 1Draws 0PAOK II wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-12-06Asteras Tripolis IIPAOK IISuper League 21-1
2025-10-04PAOK IIAsteras Tripolis IISuper League 20-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Asteras Tripolis II vs PAOK II odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.7%, draw 28.4%, away 25.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.97 3.15 3.52
Bet365 2.00 3.25 3.75
Betano 2.02 3.20 3.55
Betfair 1.95 3.20 3.50
Dafabet 2.05 3.35 3.55
Marathonbet 1.95 3.15 3.42
Pinnacle 1.98 3.34 3.38
William Hill 2.00 3.10 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.99 ▲ +0.03
X 3.20 ▲ +0.03
2 3.51 —

9 snapshots recorded, from .