Marko
vs
Zakynthos
Garuda Lions Prediction: Marko
2 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.49 vs 0.55.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Marko is the favourite, not a value bet.
Marko vs Zakynthos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Marko vs Zakynthos
| Probability | Marko | Draw | Zakynthos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 79.1% | 15.3% | 5.6% |
| Market | 80.0% | 14.1% | 5.9% |
| Final | 79.8% | 14.4% | 5.8% |
| Edge | -0.2% | +0.3% | -0.1% |
Why Marko
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.49 vs 0.55.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.17, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.7% per unit staked (our 79.8% × 1.17 − 1).
Marko vs Zakynthos match preview
Marko enters the match against Zakynthos with a strong probability of winning at 80%, while Zakynthos has a mere 6% chance of victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0, occurring with a 15% probability. Marko's expected goals stand at 2.46, significantly higher than Zakynthos's 0.55, indicating a stark contrast in attacking potential.
Recent form shows Marko with a mixed record of D-W-L-W-D-W, while Zakynthos struggles with a series of six matches without a win, including five losses and one draw. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58%, and both teams scoring is forecasted at 40%. Despite the confidence grade being C, Marko appears to be in a favorable position ahead of this Super League 2 clash.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Marko and Zakynthos expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.03
Marko and Zakynthos attack and defence ratings
Marko
Zakynthos
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Marko vs Zakynthos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Marko | 79.8% | 1.25 | -0.2% | 1.17 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.2% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Marko win | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Marko | 79.8% |
| Draw | 14.4% | |
| Zakynthos | 5.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.3% |
| No | 60.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 85.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 20.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Marko win | 57.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 20.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 14.9% |
| 3-0 | 12.3% | |
| 1-0 | 11.3% |
Marko vs Zakynthos stats
Marko and Zakynthos recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Marko and Zakynthos season so far
Marko record
- They have won 8 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
Zakynthos record
- They have won 0 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
Marko vs Zakynthos head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Marko vs Zakynthos odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 80.0%, draw 14.1%, away 5.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.10 | 6.15 | 19.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.14 | 6.50 | 13.00 |
| Betano | 1.16 | 6.30 | 14.50 |
| Betfair | 1.12 | 6.50 | 14.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.17 | 6.60 | 16.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.10 | 6.15 | 19.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .