Ellas Syros
vs
Panthrakikos
2 – 0 Full time
| 31′ | E. Bullari | ||
| 90′ | C. Prevezianos |
Ellas Syros vs Panthrakikos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ellas Syros vs Panthrakikos
| Probability | Ellas Syros | Draw | Panthrakikos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.6% | 23.8% | 15.6% |
| Market | 50.1% | 26.7% | 23.2% |
| Final | 52.7% | 26.0% | 21.3% |
| Edge | +2.6% | -0.7% | -1.9% |
Why Ellas Syros
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 0.87.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Ellas Syros below our published probability: +2.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ellas Syros and Panthrakikos expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.78
Ellas Syros and Panthrakikos attack and defence ratings
Ellas Syros
Panthrakikos
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ellas Syros vs Panthrakikos: result vs prediction
Ellas Syros 2 – 0 Panthrakikos
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ellas Syros vs Panthrakikos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ellas Syros | 52.7% | 1.90 | +2.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ellas Syros | 52.7% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Panthrakikos | 21.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.7% |
| No | 49.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ellas Syros win | 36.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 39.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.4% |
| 2-0 | 11.3% | |
| 1-0 | 10.8% |
Ellas Syros vs Panthrakikos stats
Ellas Syros and Panthrakikos recent form
| Ellas Syros |
WWLDLD |
| Panthrakikos |
LWDDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ellas Syros and Panthrakikos going into this match
Ellas Syros record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
Panthrakikos record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
Ellas Syros vs Panthrakikos head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Ellas Syros vs Panthrakikos odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.1%, draw 26.7%, away 23.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.74 | 3.45 | 4.08 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| Betano | 1.87 | 3.40 | 3.85 |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 3.50 | 4.20 |
| Dafabet | 1.94 | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.72 | 3.45 | 3.98 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 3.31 | 3.80 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.20 | 3.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .