Apollon Pontou
vs
Kallithea
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kallithea
0 – 1 Predicted score · 19% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.10 vs 0.58.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Kallithea is the favourite, not a value bet.
Apollon Pontou vs Kallithea overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Apollon Pontou vs Kallithea
| Probability | Apollon Pontou | Draw | Kallithea |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18.2% | 35.0% | 46.8% |
| Market | 14.9% | 21.7% | 63.4% |
| Final | 15.7% | 25.0% | 59.3% |
| Edge | +0.8% | +3.3% | -4.1% |
Why Kallithea
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.10 vs 0.58.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.53, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.3% per unit staked (our 59.3% × 1.53 − 1).
Apollon Pontou vs Kallithea match preview
Apollon Pontou faces Kallithea in the Super League 2 on November 15, 2026. According to our model, Apollon Pontou has a 10% chance of winning, while Kallithea is favored with a 68% probability. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 19% likelihood. Expected goals for Apollon Pontou stand at 0.58, compared to Kallithea's 1.11.
Recent form indicates a struggle for Apollon Pontou, with four consecutive losses followed by a draw and a win. In contrast, Kallithea has shown stronger performance, winning three of their last six matches. The probability of over 2.5 goals is 24%, and the chance of both teams scoring is 31%. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Apollon Pontou and Kallithea expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.68
Apollon Pontou and Kallithea attack and defence ratings
Apollon Pontou
Kallithea
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Apollon Pontou vs Kallithea markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kallithea | 59.3% | 1.69 | -4.1% | 1.53 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Apollon Pontou | 15.7% |
| Draw | 25.0% | |
| Kallithea | 59.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 23.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 76.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 30.5% |
| No | 69.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 40.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 84.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kallithea win | 20.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.6% | |
| Loss | 53.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 19.9% |
| 0-1 | 19.3% | |
| 1-1 | 13.1% |
Apollon Pontou vs Kallithea stats
Apollon Pontou and Kallithea recent form
| Apollon Pontou |
LLLLWD |
| Kallithea |
WLDDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Apollon Pontou and Kallithea season so far
Apollon Pontou record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
Kallithea record
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Apollon Pontou vs Kallithea head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-04-01 | Kallithea | Apollon Pontou | Football League | 0-1 |
| 2017-12-10 | Apollon Pontou | Kallithea | Football League | 1-0 |
| 2012-10-25 | Apollon Pontou | Kallithea | Cup | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Apollon Pontou vs Kallithea odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 14.9%, draw 21.7%, away 63.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 14.20 | 4.75 | 1.21 |
| Bet365 | 5.25 | 4.50 | 1.48 |
| Betano | 6.00 | 3.75 | 1.53 |
| Betfair | 5.50 | 3.80 | 1.47 |
| Dafabet | 6.40 | 4.60 | 1.44 |
| Marathonbet | 13.00 | 4.75 | 1.20 |
| Pinnacle | 5.92 | 3.57 | 1.48 |
| William Hill | 9.50 | 4.00 | 1.33 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .