Kallithea
vs
Panionios
Garuda Lions Prediction: Panionios
0 – 1 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Panionios is the favourite, not a value bet.
Kallithea vs Panionios overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kallithea vs Panionios
| Probability | Kallithea | Draw | Panionios |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.8% | 35.0% | 27.2% |
| Market | 26.6% | 32.1% | 41.2% |
| Final | 29.4% | 32.8% | 37.7% |
| Edge | +2.8% | +0.7% | -3.5% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.30, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -13.2% per unit staked (our 37.7% × 2.30 − 1).
Kallithea vs Panionios match preview
Kallithea and Panionios are set to clash in the Super League 2, with Kallithea holding a 35% chance of winning compared to Panionios at 32%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0 in favor of Kallithea, occurring with a 15% probability. Kallithea's expected goals stand at 1.01, while Panionios is projected at 0.82, highlighting a slight edge for the home side in offensive potential.
Recent form shows Kallithea with a record of L-D-D-W-W-W, while Panionios has W-L-D-W-L-W. In their last two encounters, Panionios has won both matches against Kallithea, who has yet to secure a victory in this matchup. The confidence grade for this fixture is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kallithea and Panionios expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.83
Kallithea and Panionios attack and defence ratings
Kallithea
Panionios
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
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- Panthrakikos v Larisa — match page
- Olympiakos Piraeus II v Ellas Syros — match page
- Anagennisi Karditsas vs Marko — team news & stats
- Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Asteras Tripolis II
- Pyrgos 1968 vs PAOK II — team news & stats
- Zakynthos vs Niki Volos — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Kallithea vs Panionios markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panionios | 37.7% | 2.65 | -3.5% | 2.30 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kallithea | 29.4% |
| Draw | 32.8% | |
| Panionios | 37.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 27.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 72.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.9% |
| No | 63.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Panionios win | 9.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.0% | |
| Loss | 72.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 17.4% |
| 1-0 | 14.9% | |
| 1-1 | 14.6% |
Kallithea vs Panionios stats
Kallithea and Panionios recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kallithea and Panionios season so far
Kallithea record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Panionios record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Kallithea vs Panionios head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-23 | Kallithea | Panionios | Super League 2 | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Panionios | Kallithea | Super League 2 | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kallithea vs Panionios odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 26.6%, draw 32.1%, away 41.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.36 | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| Bet365 | 3.50 | 2.90 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 3.55 | 2.85 | 2.20 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| Dafabet | 3.45 | 2.90 | 2.30 |
| Marathonbet | 3.26 | 2.80 | 2.18 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .