Panthrakikos
vs
Larisa
Garuda Lions Prediction: Larisa
0 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Larisa is the favourite, not a value bet.
Panthrakikos vs Larisa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Panthrakikos vs Larisa
| Probability | Panthrakikos | Draw | Larisa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.9% | 30.2% | 31.9% |
| Market | 31.4% | 28.3% | 40.2% |
| Final | 33.0% | 28.8% | 38.2% |
| Edge | +1.6% | +0.5% | -2.1% |
Why Larisa
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.25, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -14.2% per unit staked (our 38.2% × 2.25 − 1).
Panthrakikos vs Larisa match preview
Panthrakikos faces Larisa in a Super League 2 matchup with both teams showing mixed recent form. Panthrakikos has recorded one win, two draws, and three losses in their last six matches, while Larisa has achieved two wins, three draws, and one loss in the same period. According to our model, the probabilities for this match are 33% for Panthrakikos to win, 29% for a draw, and 38% for a Larisa victory.
The expected goals for the match indicate a competitive encounter, with Panthrakikos at 1.26 and Larisa at 1.14. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 0-1 in favor of Larisa, with a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% likelihood that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Panthrakikos and Larisa expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.39
Panthrakikos and Larisa attack and defence ratings
Panthrakikos
Larisa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Panthrakikos vs Larisa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Larisa | 38.2% | 2.62 | -2.1% | 2.25 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panthrakikos | 33.0% |
| Draw | 28.8% | |
| Larisa | 38.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.9% |
| No | 50.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Larisa win | 13.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.4% | |
| Loss | 68.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-0 | 10.4% | |
| 1-0 | 10.2% |
Panthrakikos vs Larisa stats
Panthrakikos and Larisa recent form
| Panthrakikos |
WDDLDL |
| Larisa |
WWDDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Panthrakikos and Larisa season so far
Panthrakikos record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
Larisa record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Panthrakikos vs Larisa head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-05-09 | Larisa | Panthrakikos | Football League | 3-2 |
| 2012-01-25 | Panthrakikos | Larisa | Football League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Panthrakikos vs Larisa odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.4%, draw 28.3%, away 40.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.87 | 3.18 | 2.24 |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 3.25 | 2.25 |
| Marathonbet | 2.80 | 3.18 | 2.22 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .