Larisa
vs
Olympiakos Piraeus II
Garuda Lions Prediction: Larisa
2 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.30 vs 0.78.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Larisa vs Olympiakos Piraeus II overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Larisa vs Olympiakos Piraeus II
| Probability | Larisa | Draw | Olympiakos Piraeus II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 70.7% | 19.0% | 10.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 70.7% | 19.0% | 10.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Larisa
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.30 vs 0.78.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Larisa vs Olympiakos Piraeus II match preview
Larisa is set to face Olympiakos Piraeus II in the Super League 2, with kickoff scheduled for November 1, 2026. According to our model, Larisa has a strong probability of winning at 71%, while the chances for a draw stand at 19% and for Olympiakos Piraeus II at just 10%. The expected goals for Larisa are 2.30, compared to 0.78 for Olympiakos Piraeus II, suggesting a significant offensive advantage for the home side.
Recent form indicates that Larisa has had a mixed performance with two draws and two wins in their last six matches, while Olympiakos Piraeus II has struggled, recording six consecutive matches without a win. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0 in favor of Larisa, with a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Larisa and Olympiakos Piraeus II expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.09
Larisa and Olympiakos Piraeus II attack and defence ratings
Larisa
Olympiakos Piraeus II
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Larisa vs Olympiakos Piraeus II markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Larisa | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.7% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Larisa win | 48.2% | 2.07 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Larisa | 70.7% |
| Draw | 19.0% | |
| Olympiakos Piraeus II | 10.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.8% |
| No | 50.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 29.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Larisa win | 48.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 29.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.1% |
| 1-0 | 9.7% | |
| 2-1 | 9.5% |
Larisa vs Olympiakos Piraeus II stats
Larisa and Olympiakos Piraeus II recent form
| Larisa |
DDLDWW |
| Olympiakos Piraeus II |
LDLDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Larisa and Olympiakos Piraeus II season so far
Larisa record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Olympiakos Piraeus II record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.