Panionios
vs
Panserraikos
Garuda Lions Prediction: Panionios
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 1.01.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Panionios vs Panserraikos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Panionios vs Panserraikos
| Probability | Panionios | Draw | Panserraikos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.7% | 27.1% | 22.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 50.7% | 27.1% | 22.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Panionios
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 1.01.
Panionios vs Panserraikos match preview
Panionios faces Panserraikos in a Super League 2 clash with a projected probability of 51% for a home win, 27% for a draw, and 22% for an away victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, with an 11% chance of occurring. Expected goals suggest Panionios will score 1.63, while Panserraikos is forecasted to net 1.01.
In terms of recent form, Panionios has recorded a mixed bag of results with L-D-W-L-W-D, while Panserraikos has been more consistent with W-D-W-D-W-L. The probability of over 2.5 goals stands at 49%, and both teams are expected to score with a likelihood of 52%. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Panionios and Panserraikos expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.63
Panionios and Panserraikos attack and defence ratings
Panionios
Panserraikos
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Panionios vs Panserraikos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panionios | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panionios | 50.7% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| Panserraikos | 22.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.1% |
| No | 47.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Panionios win | 27.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 49.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 1-0 | 10.5% | |
| 2-1 | 9.6% |
Panionios vs Panserraikos stats
Panionios and Panserraikos recent form
| Panionios |
LDWLWD |
| Panserraikos |
WDWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Panionios and Panserraikos season so far
Panionios record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
Panserraikos record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.