Panionios
vs
Marko
Garuda Lions Prediction: Panionios
1 – 0 Predicted score · 17% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.02 vs 0.67.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Panionios is the favourite, not a value bet.
Panionios vs Marko overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Panionios vs Marko
| Probability | Panionios | Draw | Marko |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.8% | 35.8% | 22.4% |
| Market | 48.6% | 29.1% | 22.4% |
| Final | 46.9% | 30.8% | 22.4% |
| Edge | -1.7% | +1.7% | +0.0% |
Why Panionios
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.02 vs 0.67.
Best available price on the pick: 1.94, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.0% per unit staked (our 46.9% × 1.94 − 1).
Panionios vs Marko match preview
In the upcoming Super League 2 match, Panionios hosts Marko with a probability of 47% for a Panionios win, 31% for a draw, and 22% for a Marko victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0 in favor of Panionios, with an expected goals tally of 1.02 for Panionios and 0.67 for Marko.
Recent form shows Panionios with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last six matches, while Marko has a stronger record with four wins, one draw, and one loss. In their last four encounters, Panionios has secured one win, Marko has one win, and there have been two draws. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Panionios and Marko expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.70
Panionios and Marko attack and defence ratings
Panionios
Marko
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Panionios vs Marko markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panionios | 46.9% | 2.13 | -1.7% | 1.94 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panionios | 46.9% |
| Draw | 30.8% | |
| Marko | 22.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 24.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 75.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32.7% |
| No | 67.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Panionios win | 17.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.7% | |
| Loss | 58.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 19.6% |
| 1-0 | 17.5% | |
| 1-1 | 13.9% |
Panionios vs Marko stats
Panionios and Marko recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Panionios and Marko season so far
Panionios record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Marko record
- They have won 6 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
Panionios vs Marko head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Marko | Panionios | Super League 2 | 2-1 |
| 2026-02-21 | Panionios | Marko | Super League 2 | 0-0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Panionios | Marko | Super League 2 | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-05 | Marko | Panionios | Super League 2 | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Panionios vs Marko odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.6%, draw 29.1%, away 22.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.83 | 3.12 | 4.12 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| Betano | 1.93 | 3.15 | 4.05 |
| Betfair | 1.90 | 3.10 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.94 | 3.20 | 4.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.81 | 3.12 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .