Apollon Pontou
vs
Niki Volos
Garuda Lions Prediction: Niki Volos
0 – 1 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Niki Volos is the favourite, not a value bet.
Apollon Pontou vs Niki Volos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Apollon Pontou vs Niki Volos
| Probability | Apollon Pontou | Draw | Niki Volos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.2% | 35.7% | 26.1% |
| Market | 12.8% | 21.0% | 66.2% |
| Final | 19.2% | 24.6% | 56.2% |
| Edge | +6.3% | +3.7% | -10.0% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.40, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -21.3% per unit staked (our 56.2% × 1.40 − 1).
Apollon Pontou vs Niki Volos match preview
Apollon Pontou faces Niki Volos in a Super League 2 match on October 24, 2026. According to our model, Apollon Pontou has a 19% chance of winning, while Niki Volos is favored with a 56% probability. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 12%. In terms of expected goals, Apollon Pontou is projected to score 0.99, compared to Niki Volos's 0.77.
Recent form shows Apollon Pontou with a record of L-W-D-W-L-L, while Niki Volos has D-W-D-W-L-L. Historically, Niki Volos has dominated their encounters, winning 6 out of the last 8 matches, with Apollon Pontou yet to secure a victory in that span. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Apollon Pontou and Niki Volos expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.75
Apollon Pontou and Niki Volos attack and defence ratings
Apollon Pontou
Niki Volos
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Apollon Pontou vs Niki Volos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Niki Volos | 56.2% | 1.78 | -10.0% | 1.40 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Apollon Pontou | 19.2% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Niki Volos | 56.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 25.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 74.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 34.9% |
| No | 65.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 43.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 80.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Niki Volos win | 8.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.7% | |
| Loss | 73.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 18.6% |
| 1-0 | 15.8% | |
| 1-1 | 14.4% |
Apollon Pontou vs Niki Volos stats
Apollon Pontou and Niki Volos recent form
| Apollon Pontou |
LWDWLL |
| Niki Volos |
DWDWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Apollon Pontou and Niki Volos season so far
Apollon Pontou record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
Niki Volos record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
Apollon Pontou vs Niki Volos head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-21 | Niki Volos | Apollon Pontou | Super League 2 | 5-0 |
| 2023-10-22 | Apollon Pontou | Niki Volos | Super League 2 | 1-3 |
| 2023-04-10 | Apollon Pontou | Niki Volos | Super League 2 | 2-2 |
| 2022-11-27 | Niki Volos | Apollon Pontou | Super League 2 | 3-0 |
| 2022-02-20 | Niki Volos | Apollon Pontou | Super League 2 | 1-0 |
| 2021-11-21 | Apollon Pontou | Niki Volos | Super League 2 | 0-0 |
| 2014-01-27 | Apollon Pontou | Niki Volos | Football League | 1-3 |
| 2013-10-20 | Niki Volos | Apollon Pontou | Football League | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Apollon Pontou vs Niki Volos odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 12.8%, draw 21.0%, away 66.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 7.08 | 4.20 | 1.37 |
| Bet365 | 7.00 | 4.50 | 1.40 |
| Betano | 8.25 | 4.65 | 1.33 |
| Betfair | 8.00 | 4.33 | 1.33 |
| Dafabet | 8.60 | 4.40 | 1.37 |
| Marathonbet | 6.70 | 4.20 | 1.36 |
| William Hill | 7.00 | 3.90 | 1.40 |