Panionios
vs
Olympiakos Piraeus II
Garuda Lions Prediction: Panionios
2 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.54 vs 0.91.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Panionios is the favourite, not a value bet.
Panionios vs Olympiakos Piraeus II overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Panionios vs Olympiakos Piraeus II
| Probability | Panionios | Draw | Olympiakos Piraeus II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 72.0% | 17.5% | 10.6% |
| Market | 76.1% | 16.4% | 7.6% |
| Final | 75.0% | 16.6% | 8.3% |
| Edge | -1.0% | +0.3% | +0.7% |
Why Panionios
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.54 vs 0.91.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.23, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.7% per unit staked (our 75.0% × 1.23 − 1).
Panionios vs Olympiakos Piraeus II match preview
Panionios enters this match with a strong probability of winning at 73%, while Olympiakos Piraeus II has a significantly lower chance of 9%. The expected goals for Panionios stand at 2.52, compared to just 0.92 for Olympiakos Piraeus II, indicating a notable offensive advantage for the home side. Recent form shows Panionios with a mixed record of L-W-L-D-W-L, while Olympiakos Piraeus II has struggled, recording L-L-L-D-L-D in their last matches.
The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0, occurring at a rate of 10%. Additionally, there is a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match, and both teams have a 56% chance of scoring at least once. The head-to-head record in the last four encounters favors Panionios with 2 wins, while Olympiakos Piraeus II has secured 1 win and 1 draw.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Panionios and Olympiakos Piraeus II expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.45
Panionios and Olympiakos Piraeus II attack and defence ratings
Panionios
Olympiakos Piraeus II
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Panionios vs Olympiakos Piraeus II markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panionios | 75.0% | 1.33 | -1.0% | 1.23 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.7% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Panionios win | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panionios | 75.0% |
| Draw | 16.6% | |
| Olympiakos Piraeus II | 8.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.8% |
| No | 44.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 25.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Panionios win | 51.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 28.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 10.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 3-0 | 8.7% |
Panionios vs Olympiakos Piraeus II stats
Panionios and Olympiakos Piraeus II recent form
| Panionios |
LWLDWL |
| Olympiakos Piraeus II |
LLLDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Panionios and Olympiakos Piraeus II season so far
Panionios record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
Olympiakos Piraeus II record
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
Panionios vs Olympiakos Piraeus II head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Panionios | Olympiakos Piraeus II | Friendlies Clubs | 3-0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Panionios | Olympiakos Piraeus II | Super League 2 | 3-0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Olympiakos Piraeus II | Panionios | Super League 2 | 2-1 |
| 2025-12-03 | Panionios | Olympiakos Piraeus II | Super League 2 | 4-1 |
| 2025-09-14 | Olympiakos Piraeus II | Panionios | Super League 2 | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Panionios vs Olympiakos Piraeus II odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 76.1%, draw 16.4%, away 7.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.15 | 5.45 | 14.70 |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 5.75 | 12.00 |
| Betano | 1.21 | 5.60 | 12.00 |
| Betfair | 1.18 | 5.50 | 12.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.23 | 5.80 | 12.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.15 | 5.45 | 14.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .