Larisa
vs
Panserraikos
0 – 0 Full time
Larisa vs Panserraikos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Larisa vs Panserraikos
| Probability | Larisa | Draw | Panserraikos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 69.3% | 18.4% | 12.3% |
| Market | 40.4% | 30.5% | 29.1% |
| Final | 47.7% | 27.5% | 24.9% |
| Edge | +7.2% | -3.0% | -4.2% |
Why Larisa
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.48 vs 0.99.
- The market prices Larisa below our published probability: +7.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Larisa and Panserraikos expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.47
Larisa and Panserraikos attack and defence ratings
Larisa
Panserraikos
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Larisa vs Panserraikos: result vs prediction
Larisa 0 – 0 Panserraikos
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Larisa vs Panserraikos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Larisa | 47.7% | 2.10 | +7.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Larisa win | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Larisa | 47.7% |
| Draw | 27.5% | |
| Panserraikos | 24.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.2% |
| No | 41.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Larisa win | 48.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 30.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 9.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 1-1 | 8.4% |
Larisa vs Panserraikos stats
Larisa and Panserraikos recent form
| Larisa |
LDWWDW |
| Panserraikos |
WDWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Larisa and Panserraikos going into this match
Larisa record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Panserraikos record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
Larisa vs Panserraikos head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Panserraikos | Larisa | Super League 1 | 1-1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Larisa | Panserraikos | Super League 1 | 0-1 |
| 2026-01-24 | Larisa | Panserraikos | Super League 1 | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Panserraikos | Larisa | Super League 1 | 0-2 |
| 2024-09-26 | Larisa | Panserraikos | Cup | 0-1 |
| 2023-05-03 | Larisa | Panserraikos | Super League 2 | 0-0 |
| 2022-12-22 | Panserraikos | Larisa | Super League 2 | 2-1 |
| 2022-02-27 | Panserraikos | Larisa | Super League 2 | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Larisa vs Panserraikos odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.6%, draw 30.0%, away 28.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.23 | 2.96 | 3.10 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.10 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.05 | 3.25 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.10 | 3.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.25 |
| Marathonbet | 2.21 | 2.96 | 3.02 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .