Milsami Orhei
vs
Petrocub
1 – 0 Full time
Milsami Orhei vs Petrocub overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Milsami Orhei vs Petrocub
| Probability | Milsami Orhei | Draw | Petrocub |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.5% | 26.5% | 45.0% |
| Market | 27.3% | 28.6% | 44.0% |
| Final | 27.6% | 28.1% | 44.3% |
| Edge | +1.1% | -2.1% | +1.0% |
Why Petrocub
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 1.26.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Milsami Orhei and Petrocub expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.91
Milsami Orhei and Petrocub attack and defence ratings
Milsami Orhei
Petrocub
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Milsami Orhei vs Petrocub: result vs prediction
Milsami Orhei 1 – 0 Petrocub
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Milsami Orhei vs Petrocub markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Petrocub | 44.3% | 2.26 | +1.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Milsami Orhei | 27.6% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| Petrocub | 44.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.1% |
| No | 40.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Petrocub win | 24.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 54.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 1-2 | 9.3% | |
| 0-1 | 7.8% |
Milsami Orhei vs Petrocub stats
Milsami Orhei and Petrocub recent form
| Milsami Orhei |
LDDDWL |
| Petrocub |
LWWDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Milsami Orhei and Petrocub going into this match
Milsami Orhei record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
Petrocub record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Milsami Orhei vs Petrocub head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Petrocub | Milsami Orhei | Moldova Super Liga | 5-0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Milsami Orhei | Petrocub | Moldova Super Liga | 0-3 |
| 2026-03-21 | Petrocub | Milsami Orhei | Moldova Super Liga | 2-0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Milsami Orhei | Petrocub | Moldova Super Liga | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-24 | Milsami Orhei | Petrocub | Moldova Super Liga | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-31 | Petrocub | Milsami Orhei | Moldova Super Liga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Milsami Orhei vs Petrocub odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.3%, draw 28.6%, away 44.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.54 | 3.06 | 2.03 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 3.30 | 2.00 |
| Betano | 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.07 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.25 | 2.00 |
| Dafabet | 3.35 | 3.30 | 2.09 |
| Marathonbet | 3.46 | 3.06 | 2.01 |
| Pinnacle | 3.25 | 3.00 | 2.07 |
| Superbet | 3.35 | 3.15 | 2.12 |
| William Hill | 3.25 | 2.90 | 2.05 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .