Sheriff Tiraspol
vs
Politehnica UTM
4 – 0 Full time
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Politehnica UTM overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sheriff Tiraspol vs Politehnica UTM
| Probability | Sheriff Tiraspol | Draw | Politehnica UTM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.2% | 24.0% | 53.8% |
| Market | 71.4% | 17.8% | 10.8% |
| Final | 59.1% | 19.4% | 21.5% |
| Edge | -49.2% | +6.2% | +43.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sheriff Tiraspol and Politehnica UTM expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.14
Sheriff Tiraspol and Politehnica UTM attack and defence ratings
Sheriff Tiraspol
Politehnica UTM
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Politehnica UTM: result vs prediction
Sheriff Tiraspol 4 – 0 Politehnica UTM
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Politehnica UTM markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sheriff Tiraspol | 59.1% | 1.69 | -49.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 77.8% | 1.28 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sheriff Tiraspol | 59.1% |
| Draw | 19.4% | |
| Politehnica UTM | 21.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.7% |
| No | 39.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sheriff Tiraspol win | 9.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13.0% | |
| Loss | 77.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 0-2 | 8.2% |
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Politehnica UTM stats
Sheriff Tiraspol and Politehnica UTM recent form
| Sheriff Tiraspol |
DLWLWL |
| Politehnica UTM |
WDLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sheriff Tiraspol and Politehnica UTM going into this match
Sheriff Tiraspol record
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
Politehnica UTM record
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Politehnica UTM head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Politehnica UTM | Sheriff Tiraspol | Moldova Super Liga | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Politehnica UTM | Sheriff Tiraspol | Moldova Super Liga | 1-2 |
| 2025-08-10 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Politehnica UTM | Moldova Super Liga | 3-0 |
| 2025-06-22 | Politehnica UTM | Sheriff Tiraspol | Moldova Super Liga | 0-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Politehnica UTM odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 71.4%, draw 17.8%, away 10.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.25 | 4.75 | 8.60 |
| 1xBet | 1.23 | 5.50 | 9.40 |
| Bet365 | 1.27 | 5.25 | 8.00 |
| Betano | 1.36 | 4.50 | 6.50 |
| Betfair | 1.22 | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.35 | 4.90 | 7.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.22 | 5.50 | 9.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.24 | 5.61 | 7.27 |
| Superbet | 1.35 | 4.80 | 6.80 |
| William Hill | 1.25 | 5.00 | 9.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .