Moldova Super Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 10
Zimbru
vs
Sheriff Tiraspol
2 – 1 Full time
Zimbru
61%
Draw
21%
Sheriff Tiraspol
18%
Zimbru vs Sheriff Tiraspol overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zimbru vs Sheriff Tiraspol
| Probability | Zimbru | Draw | Sheriff Tiraspol |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.1% | 21.2% | 17.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 61.1% | 21.2% | 17.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Zimbru
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.26 vs 1.17.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
86%
3+ goals
67%
No goals
4%
Zimbru and Sheriff Tiraspol expected goals
Zimbru
2.26
Sheriff Tiraspol
1.17
Total expected goals: 3.43
Zimbru and Sheriff Tiraspol attack and defence ratings
Zimbru
Attack
1.41 +41%
Defence
0.78 -22%
Sheriff Tiraspol
Attack
1.11 +11%
Defence
0.99 -1%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Zimbru vs Sheriff Tiraspol: result vs prediction
Zimbru 2 – 1 Sheriff Tiraspol
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Zimbru vs Sheriff Tiraspol markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zimbru | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.3% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Zimbru win | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zimbru | 61.1% |
| Draw | 21.2% | |
| Sheriff Tiraspol | 17.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.4% |
| No | 37.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 38.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Zimbru win | 39.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 38.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.7% |
| 1-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 8.3% |
Zimbru vs Sheriff Tiraspol stats
Zimbru and Sheriff Tiraspol recent form
| Zimbru |
WWLWLW |
| Sheriff Tiraspol |
WDLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zimbru and Sheriff Tiraspol going into this match
Zimbru record
- They have won 7 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Sheriff Tiraspol record
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
Zimbru vs Sheriff Tiraspol head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Zimbru wins
2Draws
5Sheriff Tiraspol wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Zimbru | Moldova Super Liga | 4-2 |
| 2026-05-23 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Zimbru | Cupa | 2-0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Zimbru | Moldova Super Liga | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Zimbru | Sheriff Tiraspol | Moldova Super Liga | 2-2 |
| 2025-11-23 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Zimbru | Moldova Super Liga | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Zimbru | Sheriff Tiraspol | Moldova Super Liga | 2-0 |
| 2025-07-27 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Zimbru | Moldova Super Liga | 2-3 |
| 2025-05-14 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Zimbru | Cupa | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-30 | Zimbru | Sheriff Tiraspol | Cupa | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-26 | Zimbru | Sheriff Tiraspol | Super Liga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.