CSF Bălți
vs
Zimbru
0 – 4 Full time
CSF Bălți vs Zimbru overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CSF Bălți vs Zimbru
| Probability | CSF Bălți | Draw | Zimbru |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 8.7% | 15.3% | 76.0% |
| Market | 2.2% | 9.2% | 88.5% |
| Final | 3.9% | 10.7% | 85.4% |
| Edge | +6.5% | +6.1% | -12.6% |
Why Zimbru
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.78 vs 0.90.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CSF Bălți and Zimbru expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.68
CSF Bălți and Zimbru attack and defence ratings
CSF Bălți
Zimbru
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
CSF Bălți vs Zimbru: result vs prediction
CSF Bălți 0 – 4 Zimbru
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
CSF Bălți vs Zimbru markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zimbru | 85.4% | 1.17 | -12.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 96.1% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Zimbru win | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CSF Bălți | 3.9% |
| Draw | 10.7% | |
| Zimbru | 85.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.2% |
| No | 43.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 14.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 89.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 96.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Zimbru win | 56.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 24.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 9.8% |
| 0-3 | 9.1% | |
| 1-2 | 8.8% |
CSF Bălți vs Zimbru stats
CSF Bălți and Zimbru recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CSF Bălți and Zimbru going into this match
CSF Bălți record
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
Zimbru record
- They have won 7 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
CSF Bălți vs Zimbru head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Zimbru | CSF Bălți | Moldova Super Liga | 3-0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Zimbru | CSF Bălți | Moldova Super Liga | 4-1 |
| 2026-03-21 | CSF Bălți | Zimbru | Moldova Super Liga | 0-2 |
| 2025-11-09 | CSF Bălți | Zimbru | Moldova Super Liga | 1-3 |
| 2025-09-13 | Zimbru | CSF Bălți | Moldova Super Liga | 2-0 |
| 2025-07-19 | CSF Bălți | Zimbru | Moldova Super Liga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
CSF Bălți vs Zimbru odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 2.2%, draw 9.2%, away 88.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 41.00 | 7.75 | 1.03 |
| 1xBet | 41.00 | 11.00 | 1.05 |
| Bet365 | 41.00 | 11.00 | 1.05 |
| Betano | 37.00 | 8.00 | 1.04 |
| Betfair | 56.00 | 13.00 | 1.03 |
| Dafabet | 45.00 | 9.60 | 1.05 |
| Superbet | 36.00 | 10.00 | 1.04 |