Moldova Super Liga · Full time ·Matchday 11

Sheriff Tiraspol vs Petrocub

2 – 2 Full time

52′M. IosipoiM. Lupan
59′D. Puscas
64′J. PinedaSapata
64′V. FrateaD. Forov
64′D. BotanM. Corotcov
67′Petrocub
68′J. Asprilla Moreno
69′M. SavaB. Musteata
76′S. Kone
84′J. Asprilla MorenoK. Kalabatama
84′S. KoneA. Pergjoni
84′D. PuscasM. Cojocaru
84′O. DavidI. Botnari
84′I. RevencoP. Nazari
87′Petrocub
90′M. Cojocaru

Sheriff Arena, Tiraspol

Sheriff Tiraspol 47%
Draw 28%
Petrocub 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Sheriff Tiraspol vs Petrocub overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sheriff Tiraspol vs Petrocub

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySheriff TiraspolDrawPetrocub
Model42.0%25.2%32.8%
Market48.7%28.4%22.9%
Final47.0%27.6%25.4%
Edge-6.8%-3.2%+10.0%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sheriff Tirasp ↓ / Petrocub → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 11% 8% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 63%
No goals 5%

Sheriff Tiraspol and Petrocub expected goals

Sheriff Tiraspol 1.73
Petrocub 1.51

Total expected goals: 3.24

Sheriff Tiraspol and Petrocub attack and defence ratings

Sheriff Tiraspol

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Petrocub

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sheriff Tiraspol vs Petrocub: result vs prediction

Sheriff Tiraspol 2 – 2 Petrocub

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Moldova Super Liga

Before and after this match

Sheriff Tiraspol vs Petrocub markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sheriff Tiraspol 47.0% 2.13 -6.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.8% 1.59 — —
Both teams to score Yes 65.1% 1.54 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.6% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.0% 1.72 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sheriff Tiraspol47.0%
Draw27.6%
Petrocub25.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.8%
Under 2.537.2%
Both teams to scoreYes65.1%
No34.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.6%
12 (either side)72.4%
X2 (draw or away)53.0%
Handicap -1Sheriff Tiraspol win22.6%
Push (exactly one goal)19.4%
Loss58.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.3%
2-18.8%
1-27.7%

Sheriff Tiraspol vs Petrocub stats

Sheriff Tiraspol and Petrocub recent form

newest first
Sheriff Tiraspol LWDLWL
Petrocub WLLWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sheriff Tiraspol and Petrocub going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sheriff Tiraspol record

  • They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.

Petrocub record

  • They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sheriff Tiraspol vs Petrocub head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Sheriff Tiraspol wins 2Draws 3Petrocub wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-19PetrocubSheriff TiraspolMoldova Super Liga2-3
2026-05-13Sheriff TiraspolPetrocubCupa2-0
2026-05-06PetrocubSheriff TiraspolCupa1-0
2026-04-26PetrocubSheriff TiraspolMoldova Super Liga1-0
2026-03-14Sheriff TiraspolPetrocubMoldova Super Liga1-0
2025-11-08PetrocubSheriff TiraspolMoldova Super Liga4-2
2025-09-14Sheriff TiraspolPetrocubMoldova Super Liga2-0
2025-07-20PetrocubSheriff TiraspolMoldova Super Liga0-0
2025-05-04Sheriff TiraspolPetrocubSuper Liga3-1
2025-03-29PetrocubSheriff TiraspolSuper Liga1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sheriff Tiraspol vs Petrocub odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.7%, draw 28.4%, away 22.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.83 3.14 4.24
Bet365 1.80 3.25 3.90
Marathonbet 1.81 3.14 4.15
Pinnacle 1.92 3.16 3.47
William Hill 1.95 3.00 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.83 ▲ +0.05
X 3.14 ▲ +0.06
2 3.90 ▼ -0.43

2 snapshots recorded, from .