Moldova Super Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 11
Politehnica UTM
vs
Dacia-Buiucani
2 – 1 Full time
| 27′ | Dacia-Buiucani | ||
| 45′ | D. Cucer | ||
| 46′ | V. ColisD. Baciu | ||
| 46′ | A. JosanC. Ghedroutan | ||
| 46′ | D. CalestruD. Straistaru | ||
| 49′ | A. Mardari | ||
| 53′ | V. Ciumasu | ||
| 66′ | Dacia-Buiucani | ||
| 74′ | A. MardariM. Caruntu | ||
| 76′ | A. MunteanV. Lupasco | ||
| 79′ | Y. NkalleI. Arhirii | ||
| 82′ | T. Katz | ||
| 83′ | M. Caruntu | ||
| 85′ | N. LipcanD. Andreiciu | ||
| 87′ | S. EfrosV. Dumbrava | ||
| 88′ | Dacia-Buiucani | ||
| 88′ | M. Caruntu |
Politehnica UTM
43%
Draw
27%
Dacia-Buiucani
29%
Politehnica UTM vs Dacia-Buiucani overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Politehnica UTM vs Dacia-Buiucani
| Probability | Politehnica UTM | Draw | Dacia-Buiucani |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.3% | 26.7% | 19.0% |
| Market | 39.5% | 27.8% | 32.8% |
| Final | 43.2% | 27.5% | 29.3% |
| Edge | +14.8% | -1.1% | -13.7% |
Why Politehnica UTM
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 0.89.
- The market prices Politehnica UTM below the model: +14.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
74%
3+ goals
47%
No goals
9%
Politehnica UTM and Dacia-Buiucani expected goals
Politehnica UTM
1.66
Dacia-Buiucani
0.89
Total expected goals: 2.56
Politehnica UTM and Dacia-Buiucani attack and defence ratings
Politehnica UTM
Attack
1.10 +10%
Defence
0.92 -8%
Dacia-Buiucani
Attack
0.73 -27%
Defence
0.93 -7%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Politehnica UTM vs Dacia-Buiucani: result vs prediction
Politehnica UTM 2 – 1 Dacia-Buiucani
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Politehnica UTM vs Dacia-Buiucani markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Politehnica UTM | 43.2% | 2.32 | +14.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Politehnica UTM | 43.2% |
| Draw | 27.5% | |
| Dacia-Buiucani | 29.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.0% |
| No | 51.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Politehnica UTM win | 30.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.0% | |
| Loss | 45.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 1-0 | 11.7% | |
| 2-0 | 10.7% |
Politehnica UTM vs Dacia-Buiucani stats
Politehnica UTM and Dacia-Buiucani recent form
| Politehnica UTM |
DLWDLL |
| Dacia-Buiucani |
DDWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Politehnica UTM and Dacia-Buiucani going into this match
Politehnica UTM record
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dacia-Buiucani record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Politehnica UTM vs Dacia-Buiucani head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
2Politehnica UTM wins
0Draws
2Dacia-Buiucani wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Dacia-Buiucani | Politehnica UTM | Moldova Super Liga | 1-5 |
| 2025-11-01 | Politehnica UTM | Dacia-Buiucani | Moldova Super Liga | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-30 | Dacia-Buiucani | Politehnica UTM | Moldova Super Liga | 4-1 |
| 2025-07-12 | Politehnica UTM | Dacia-Buiucani | Moldova Super Liga | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Politehnica UTM vs Dacia-Buiucani odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.5%, draw 27.8%, away 32.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.29 | 3.24 | 2.81 |
| Bet365 | 2.38 | 3.30 | 2.50 |
| Marathonbet | 2.27 | 3.24 | 2.75 |
| Pinnacle | 2.23 | 3.22 | 2.74 |