Moldova Super Liga · Full time ·Matchday 12

Dacia-Buiucani vs CSF Bălți

3 – 0 Full time

22′Dacia-Buiucani
32′A. Josan
34′Dacia-Buiucani
53′A. Josan
67′Dacia-Buiucani
83′V. Lupasco

Joma Arena

Dacia-Buiucani 74%
Draw 18%
CSF Bălți 9%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Dacia-Buiucani vs CSF Bălți overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Dacia-Buiucani vs CSF Bălți

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDacia-BuiucaniDrawCSF Bălți
Model67.2%21.3%11.5%
Market76.0%16.4%7.5%
Final73.8%17.7%8.5%
Edge-8.9%+4.9%+4.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Dacia-Buiucani

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.07 vs 0.75.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Dacia-Buiucani ↓ / CSF Bălți → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 11% 10% 2 13% 10% 3 9% 7% 4+ 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

Dacia-Buiucani and CSF Bălți expected goals

Dacia-Buiucani 2.07
CSF Bălți 0.75

Total expected goals: 2.82

Dacia-Buiucani and CSF Bălți attack and defence ratings

Dacia-Buiucani

Attack 0.73 -27%
Defence 0.96 -4%

CSF Bălți

Attack 0.58 -42%
Defence 1.75 +75%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Dacia-Buiucani vs CSF Bălți: result vs prediction

Dacia-Buiucani 3 – 0 CSF Bălți

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Moldova Super Liga

Before and after this match

Dacia-Buiucani vs CSF Bălți markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Dacia-Buiucani 73.8% 1.36 -8.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53.6% 1.87 — —
Both teams to score No 52.9% 1.89 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 91.5% 1.09 — —
Handicap -1 Dacia-Buiucani win 43.4% 2.31 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Dacia-Buiucani73.8%
Draw17.7%
CSF Bălți8.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553.6%
Under 2.546.4%
Both teams to scoreYes47.1%
No52.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)91.5%
12 (either side)82.3%
X2 (draw or away)26.2%
Handicap -1Dacia-Buiucani win43.4%
Push (exactly one goal)23.8%
Loss32.8%
Correct score (top 3)2-012.8%
1-011.4%
1-110.2%

Dacia-Buiucani vs CSF Bălți stats

Dacia-Buiucani and CSF Bălți recent form

newest first
Dacia-Buiucani LDDWLL
CSF Bălți LLLLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Dacia-Buiucani and CSF Bălți going into this match

league record before kick-off

Dacia-Buiucani record

  • They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

CSF Bălți record

  • They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.

Dacia-Buiucani vs CSF Bălți head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Dacia-Buiucani wins 6Draws 3CSF Bălți wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-25CSF BălțiDacia-BuiucaniMoldova Super Liga1-4
2026-05-17CSF BălțiDacia-BuiucaniMoldova Super Liga0-0
2026-04-11Dacia-BuiucaniCSF BălțiMoldova Super Liga1-2
2025-10-18CSF BălțiDacia-BuiucaniMoldova Super Liga2-0
2025-08-16Dacia-BuiucaniCSF BălțiMoldova Super Liga2-3
2025-06-28CSF BălțiDacia-BuiucaniMoldova Super Liga0-0
2024-10-05Dacia-BuiucaniCSF BălțiSuper Liga1-1
2024-08-10CSF BălțiDacia-BuiucaniSuper Liga0-0
2024-05-11CSF BălțiDacia-BuiucaniSuper Liga2-2
2024-04-07Dacia-BuiucaniCSF BălțiSuper Liga1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Dacia-Buiucani vs CSF Bălți odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 76.0%, draw 16.4%, away 7.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.19 5.57 12.50
Bet365 1.22 4.75 11.00
Betano 1.21 4.60 8.50
Betfair 1.18 5.50 12.00
Marathonbet 1.16 5.50 14.25

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.