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Moldova Super Liga · Full time ·Matchday 13

Sheriff Tiraspol vs CSF Bălți

7 – 0 Full time

15′J. Asprilla Moreno
36′D. Klas
38′D. Klas
46′S. KoneA. Pergjoni
52′M. Corotcov
56′D. FainaC. Gutul
63′J. Asprilla MorenoK. Kalabatama
63′M. CorotcovV. Cozma
72′D. RusuR. Gomez
74′D. KlasM. Kyabou
74′J. PinedaL. Jaures-Ulrich
76′V. Fratea
86′S. RogaA. Bagrin
86′L. Jaures-Ulrich
90′V. Fratea

Sheriff Arena, Tiraspol

Sheriff Tiraspol 89%
Draw 8%
CSF Bălți 3%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Sheriff Tiraspol vs CSF Bălți overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sheriff Tiraspol vs CSF Bălți

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySheriff TiraspolDrawCSF Bălți
Model83.7%11.4%5.0%
Market90.3%7.2%2.6%
Final88.6%8.2%3.2%
Edge-6.6%+4.2%+2.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Sheriff Tiraspol

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.13 vs 0.73.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sheriff Tirasp ↓ / CSF Bălți → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 2 10% 3 11% 4+ 18% 13%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 74%
No goals 3%

Sheriff Tiraspol and CSF Bălți expected goals

Sheriff Tiraspol 3.13
CSF Bălți 0.73

Total expected goals: 3.86

Sheriff Tiraspol and CSF Bălți attack and defence ratings

Sheriff Tiraspol

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 1.02 +2%

CSF Bălți

Attack 0.54 -46%
Defence 1.81 +81%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sheriff Tiraspol vs CSF Bălți: result vs prediction

Sheriff Tiraspol 7 – 0 CSF Bălți

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

Moldova Super Liga

Before and after this match

Sheriff Tiraspol vs CSF Bălți markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sheriff Tiraspol 88.6% 1.13 -6.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 74.2% 1.35 — —
Both teams to score No 50.0% 2.00 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 96.8% 1.03 — —
Handicap -1 Sheriff Tiraspol win 66.4% 1.51 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sheriff Tiraspol88.6%
Draw8.2%
CSF Bălți3.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.574.2%
Under 2.525.8%
Both teams to scoreYes50.0%
No50.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)96.8%
12 (either side)91.8%
X2 (draw or away)11.4%
Handicap -1Sheriff Tiraspol win66.4%
Push (exactly one goal)17.1%
Loss16.4%
Correct score (top 3)3-010.8%
2-010.3%
4-08.5%

Sheriff Tiraspol vs CSF Bălți stats

Sheriff Tiraspol and CSF Bălți recent form

newest first
Sheriff Tiraspol WDLWDL
CSF Bălți LLLLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sheriff Tiraspol and CSF Bălți going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sheriff Tiraspol record

  • They have won 7 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 12 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

CSF Bălți record

  • They have won 1 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.

Sheriff Tiraspol vs CSF Bălți head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

9Sheriff Tiraspol wins 0Draws 1CSF Bălți wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-02CSF BălțiSheriff TiraspolMoldova Super Liga1-5
2026-04-18Sheriff TiraspolCSF BălțiMoldova Super Liga2-0
2026-03-08CSF BălțiSheriff TiraspolMoldova Super Liga0-1
2025-11-02Sheriff TiraspolCSF BălțiMoldova Super Liga1-2
2025-08-31CSF BălțiSheriff TiraspolMoldova Super Liga0-3
2025-07-13Sheriff TiraspolCSF BălțiMoldova Super Liga1-0
2025-05-10CSF BălțiSheriff TiraspolSuper Liga0-1
2025-04-16CSF BălțiSheriff TiraspolCupa0-1
2025-04-05Sheriff TiraspolCSF BălțiSuper Liga2-1
2025-04-02Sheriff TiraspolCSF BălțiCupa4-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sheriff Tiraspol vs CSF Bălți odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 90.3%, draw 7.2%, away 2.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.03 13.00 36.00
Bet365 1.04 15.00 41.00
Betano 1.04 9.00 30.00
Betfair 1.03 13.00 36.00
Marathonbet 1.00 10.75 29.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.03 ▲ +0.02
X 13.00 ▲ +1.75
2 36.00 ▲ +10.00

2 snapshots recorded, from .