Moldova Super Liga · ·Matchday 14

CSF Bălți vs Sireți

Garuda Lions Prediction: Sireți

0 – 1 Predicted score · 14% model probability

Stadionul Orasenesc, Balti

CSF Bălți 16%
Draw 28%
Sireți 56%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Sireți wins
56%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
89%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
42%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 1
14% of simulated outcomes

CSF Bălți vs Sireți overview

Garuda Lions analysis: CSF Bălți vs Sireți

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCSF BălțiDrawSireți
Model16.2%27.5%56.3%
Market———
Final16.2%27.5%56.3%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Sireți

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.57 vs 0.74.

CSF Bălți vs Sireți match preview

CSF Bălți will face Sireți in the Moldova Super Liga on October 10, 2026. CSF Bălți currently holds a 16% probability of winning, while Sireți has a 56% chance. The match is expected to be closely contested, with a 28% likelihood of a draw. The most probable scoreline is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 14%. The expected goals for CSF Bălți is 0.74, compared to Sireți's 1.57.

In terms of recent form, CSF Bălți has struggled, losing their last six matches. Sireți has also faced difficulties, with three losses followed by two draws. Historically, in their last encounter, CSF Bălți has not secured a win against Sireți, recording one draw and no victories. The probabilities and confidence grade for this matchup suggest a cautious outlook.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

CSF Bălți ↓ / Sireți → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 14% 12% 1 13% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 68%
3+ goals 41%
No goals 11%

CSF Bălți and Sireți expected goals

CSF Bălți 0.74
Sireți 1.57

Total expected goals: 2.31

CSF Bălți and Sireți attack and defence ratings

CSF Bălți

Attack 0.50 -50%
Defence 2.04 +104%

Sireți

Attack 0.58 -42%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 14 fixtures

Moldova Super Liga

Before and after this match

CSF Bălți vs Sireți markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sireți 56.3% 1.78 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 59.3% 1.69 — —
Both teams to score No 57.5% 1.74 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 83.8% 1.19 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 43.7% 2.29 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2CSF Bălți16.2%
Draw27.5%
Sireți56.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.540.7%
Under 2.559.3%
Both teams to scoreYes42.5%
No57.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)43.7%
12 (either side)72.5%
X2 (draw or away)83.8%
Handicap -1Sireți win30.8%
Push (exactly one goal)25.4%
Loss43.7%
Correct score (top 3)0-114.5%
1-112.6%
0-212.3%

CSF Bălți vs Sireți stats

CSF Bălți and Sireți recent form

newest first
CSF Bălți LLLLLL
Sireți LLLDDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

CSF Bălți and Sireți season so far

league record

CSF Bălți record

  • They have won 1 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 13 matches.

Sireți record

  • They have won 0 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 13 matches.

CSF Bălți vs Sireți head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

3CSF Bălți wins 1Draws 0Sireți wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-08SirețiCSF BălțiMoldova Super Liga1-1
2025-03-01CSF BălțiSirețiCupa5-2
2021-05-16SirețiCSF BălțiLiga 10-11
2020-10-20CSF BălțiSirețiLiga 15-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

CSF Bălți vs Sireți odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Sireți Predicted score 0 – 1 Low Bet Now
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