CSF Bălți
vs
Politehnica UTM
Garuda Lions Prediction: Politehnica UTM
0 – 2 Predicted score · 11% model probability
CSF Bălți vs Politehnica UTM overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CSF Bălți vs Politehnica UTM
| Probability | CSF Bălți | Draw | Politehnica UTM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 7.9% | 15.1% | 77.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 7.9% | 15.1% | 77.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Politehnica UTM
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.73 vs 0.81.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
CSF Bălți vs Politehnica UTM match preview
CSF Bălți faces Politehnica UTM in the Moldova Super Liga with a significant disparity in predicted outcomes. According to our model, CSF Bălți has an 8% chance of winning, while Politehnica UTM stands at 77%. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, occurring with an 11% probability. CSF Bălți has struggled recently, suffering six consecutive losses, while Politehnica UTM has recorded two draws and a win in their last six matches.
The expected goals reflect this imbalance, with CSF Bălți projected to score 0.81 and Politehnica UTM at 2.73. Additionally, there is a 69% likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match, and both teams have a 52% chance of scoring. In their last five encounters, CSF Bălți has three wins compared to Politehnica UTM's two.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CSF Bălți and Politehnica UTM expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.55
CSF Bălți and Politehnica UTM attack and defence ratings
CSF Bălți
Politehnica UTM
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
CSF Bălți vs Politehnica UTM markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Politehnica UTM | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.7% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 92.1% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Politehnica UTM win | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CSF Bălți | 7.9% |
| Draw | 15.1% | |
| Politehnica UTM | 77.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.6% |
| No | 47.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 23.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 92.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Politehnica UTM win | 57.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 23.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 10.8% |
| 0-3 | 9.8% | |
| 1-2 | 8.8% |
CSF Bălți vs Politehnica UTM stats
CSF Bălți and Politehnica UTM recent form
| CSF Bălți |
LLLLLL |
| Politehnica UTM |
DLLWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CSF Bălți and Politehnica UTM season so far
CSF Bălți record
- They have won 1 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 14 matches.
Politehnica UTM record
- They have won 4 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 14 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CSF Bălți vs Politehnica UTM head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Politehnica UTM | CSF Bălți | Moldova Super Liga | 6-0 |
| 2026-06-27 | CSF Bălți | Politehnica UTM | Moldova Super Liga | 3-0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Politehnica UTM | CSF Bălți | Moldova Super Liga | 3-1 |
| 2025-09-21 | CSF Bălți | Politehnica UTM | Moldova Super Liga | 3-2 |
| 2025-07-26 | Politehnica UTM | CSF Bălți | Moldova Super Liga | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.