Zimbru
vs
CSF Bălți
Garuda Lions Prediction: Zimbru
3 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.80 vs 0.53.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Zimbru vs CSF Bălți overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zimbru vs CSF Bălți
| Probability | Zimbru | Draw | CSF Bălți |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 92.0% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 92.0% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Zimbru
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.80 vs 0.53.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Zimbru vs CSF Bălți match preview
Zimbru is heavily favored in their upcoming match against CSF Bălți, with a 92% probability of winning according to our model. Recent form highlights Zimbru's strength, having recorded two wins and a draw in their last three matches, while CSF Bălți has struggled significantly, losing their last six games. The expected goals further illustrate this disparity, with Zimbru projected to score 3.80 compared to CSF Bălți's 0.53.
The most likely scoreline predicted is 3-0, occurring with a 12% probability. Additionally, there is an 81% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match, while both teams scoring is less likely at 40%. Historically, Zimbru has dominated their encounters with CSF Bălți, winning 8 of the last 10 meetings.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Zimbru and CSF Bălți expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.32
Zimbru and CSF Bălți attack and defence ratings
Zimbru
CSF Bălți
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 16 fixtures
Before and after this match
Zimbru vs CSF Bălți markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zimbru | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.7% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 98.2% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Zimbru win | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zimbru | 92.0% |
| Draw | 6.2% | |
| CSF Bălți | 1.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 19.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.3% |
| No | 59.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 98.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 93.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 8.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Zimbru win | 80.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 11.8% | |
| Loss | 8.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-0 | 12.1% |
| 4-0 | 11.5% | |
| 2-0 | 9.6% |
Zimbru vs CSF Bălți stats
Zimbru and CSF Bălți recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zimbru and CSF Bălți season so far
Zimbru record
- They have won 8 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
CSF Bălți record
- They have won 1 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 15 matches.
Zimbru vs CSF Bălți head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | CSF Bălți | Zimbru | Moldova Super Liga | 0-4 |
| 2026-07-05 | Zimbru | CSF Bălți | Moldova Super Liga | 3-0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Zimbru | CSF Bălți | Moldova Super Liga | 4-1 |
| 2026-03-21 | CSF Bălți | Zimbru | Moldova Super Liga | 0-2 |
| 2025-11-09 | CSF Bălți | Zimbru | Moldova Super Liga | 1-3 |
| 2025-09-13 | Zimbru | CSF Bălți | Moldova Super Liga | 2-0 |
| 2025-07-19 | CSF Bălți | Zimbru | Moldova Super Liga | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-18 | Zimbru | CSF Bălți | Super Liga | 3-1 |
| 2025-04-12 | CSF Bălți | Zimbru | Super Liga | 0-2 |
| 2024-09-28 | CSF Bălți | Zimbru | Super Liga | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.