Petrocub
vs
Milsami Orhei
Garuda Lions Prediction: Petrocub
1 β 0 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability
Petrocub vs Milsami Orhei overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Petrocub vs Milsami Orhei
| Probability | Petrocub | Draw | Milsami Orhei |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.3% | 28.8% | 26.8% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 44.3% | 28.8% | 26.8% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Petrocub
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.44 vs 1.07.
Petrocub vs Milsami Orhei match preview
Petrocub is set to face Milsami Orhei in the Moldova Super Liga, with a forecasted probability of 44% for a Petrocub victory, 29% for a draw, and 27% for a win for Milsami Orhei. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0 in favor of Petrocub, with an expected goals tally of 1.44 for Petrocub and 1.07 for Milsami Orhei.
In terms of recent form, Petrocub has recorded two wins, three draws, and a loss in their last six matches, while Milsami Orhei has achieved three wins, two draws, and one loss in the same period. Historically, Petrocub has dominated their recent encounters, winning five out of the last seven meetings, with Milsami Orhei securing just one victory. Both teams are also projected to score, with a 52% likelihood of both teams finding the net.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Petrocub and Milsami Orhei expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.52
Petrocub and Milsami Orhei attack and defence ratings
Petrocub
Milsami Orhei
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 16 fixtures
Before and after this match
Petrocub vs Milsami Orhei markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Petrocub | 44.3% | 2.26 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.9% | 1.85 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.5% | 1.94 | β | β |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.2% | 1.37 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.7% | 1.80 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Petrocub | 44.3% |
| Draw | 28.8% | |
| Milsami Orhei | 26.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.5% |
| No | 48.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Petrocub win | 22.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 55.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 1-0 | 10.4% | |
| 0-0 | 9.3% |
Petrocub vs Milsami Orhei stats
Petrocub and Milsami Orhei recent form
| Petrocub |
DDWWDW |
| Milsami Orhei |
DWLWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Petrocub and Milsami Orhei season so far
Petrocub record
- They have won 7 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Milsami Orhei record
- They have won 4 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 14 matches.
Petrocub vs Milsami Orhei head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Milsami Orhei | Petrocub | Moldova Super Liga | 1-0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Petrocub | Milsami Orhei | Moldova Super Liga | 5-0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Milsami Orhei | Petrocub | Moldova Super Liga | 0-3 |
| 2026-03-21 | Petrocub | Milsami Orhei | Moldova Super Liga | 2-0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Milsami Orhei | Petrocub | Moldova Super Liga | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-24 | Milsami Orhei | Petrocub | Moldova Super Liga | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-31 | Petrocub | Milsami Orhei | Moldova Super Liga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.